The Model’s Week — League One Gameweek 44
📖 Full match narrative: Goals galore as Orient stumble and model misfires badly ML Predictions — Matchday 44 Gameweek scorecard: ...
Tag: ML Predictions
The Model’s Week — Championship Gameweek 43
📖 Full match narrative: Championship Gameweek 43: Coventry Promoted, Hull Drop Points as Second Place Race Intensifies ML Predictions — ...
The Model’s Weekend Stack — GW43/GW44: Two Patents + a Heinz Where the Model Beats Bet365
Championship GW43 and League One GW44 — two 3-pick Patents (model top calls only) plus a combined 6-pick Heinz across ...
League One Gameweek 44 Preview — Play-Off Shape
Full GW44 preview. Lincoln visit Stevenage with the title in their sights. Play-off shape and relegation scraps mean every fixture ...
Championship Gameweek 43 Preview — The Sprint
Full GW43 preview. Coventry one point from promotion; Leicester v Portsmouth a relegation decider; Hull v Birmingham a playoff six-pointer ...
Cooked! The Midweek Yankee Post-Mortem — 1 From 4, But the Filters Held
The Yankee went 1-3. The picks missed, but every drop and skip the filter made was correct. A short accountability ...
Midweek Yankee — Four League One Value Picks Where the Model Beats Bet365
Four midweek League One selections where our model's probability estimate diverges from Bet365's price. Three match the model's top call. ...
The Model’s Heinz — GW42 & GW43: Six Fixtures Where the Model Beats Bet365
⚠️ A brief word from our legal department (who are also a Random Forest model): The BTP model is a ...
Derby Day and a Title Party? Everything’s at Stake in Championship Gameweek 42
Derby Day and a Title Party? Everything's at Stake in Championship Gameweek 42 Gameweek 42 Preview: Competition: Sky Bet Championship ...
Ballard’s Chase, Cardiff’s Coronation and a Westcountry Survival Derby — League One Gameweek 43
Ballard's Chase, Cardiff's Coronation and a Westcountry Survival Derby — League One Gameweek 43 Gameweek 43 Preview: Competition: Sky Bet ...
Beyond The Prem
Data-first football writing
This site is a hobby project run by a former healthcare professional and computing graduate who likes football and data. There's no monetisation agenda, no ads, and no ambition to become the next big football media brand.
What there is: ML-backed match previews, honest accountability when the model gets it wrong, and analysis covering the Championship, League One and WSL that tries to be genuinely data-driven rather than just opinion dressed up in numbers.
Hull City season ticket holder and Leyton Orient follower — both covered on the site, no bias applied.
Posts go up most days during the season. The model's predictions are published before kick-off and the results tracked openly — good weeks and bad ones.
No agenda. No spin. Just the numbers.