Championship Gameweek 43 Preview — The Sprint
Full GW43 preview. Coventry one point from promotion; Leicester v Portsmouth a relegation decider; Hull v Birmingham a playoff six-pointer ...
Tag: championship
Midweek Yankee — Four League One Value Picks Where the Model Beats Bet365
Four midweek League One selections where our model's probability estimate diverges from Bet365's price. Three match the model's top call. ...
Midweek Catch-Up Preview: 10 Makeup Fixtures Across Championship & League One (14–16 April)
BTP Midweek Preview · 14–16 April 2026 Midweek Catch-Up: 10 Makeup Fixtures Across Championship & League One Postponed and rescheduled ...
McBurnie: Is It Just In Your Head? Hull Fans Think He’s a Great Player — Are They Justified?
BTP Player Verdict · April 2026 McBurnie: Is It Just In Your Head? Hull fans think he's a great player. ...
The Model’s Heinz GW42/43: All Six Lost. Here’s the Full Picture.
Last week we published our GW42/43 Heinz — the six Championship and League One fixtures where our model showed the ...
Four Games to Go: What the Data Says About the Championship Run-In
Four Games to Go: What the Data Says About the Championship Run-In CHAMPIONSHIP · RUN-IN ANALYSIS Four Games to Go ...
Championship Gameweek 42 Review: Playoff Drama, Lundstram Controversy, Leicester’s Six-Point Deduction and a Relegation Race Turned Upside Down
Championship Gameweek 42 Review: Playoff Drama, Lundstram Controversy, Leicester's Six-Point Deduction and a Relegation Race Turned Upside Down 📅 Gameweek ...
BTP Weekly Digest | 06 April 2026 – 13 April 2026
Championship The Championship's biggest talking point this week came from further up the football pyramid, as Sunderland made headlines by ...
The Model’s Heinz — GW42 & GW43: Six Fixtures Where the Model Beats Bet365
⚠️ A brief word from our legal department (who are also a Random Forest model): The BTP model is a ...
Why Football Models Get Draws Wrong — and What We Did About It
We tested our ML model against Bet365 odds, found a draw blindness problem, tried to fix it with a dedicated ...
Beyond The Prem
Data-first football writing
This site is a hobby project run by a former healthcare professional and computing graduate who likes football and data. There's no monetisation agenda, no ads, and no ambition to become the next big football media brand.
What there is: ML-backed match previews, honest accountability when the model gets it wrong, and analysis covering the Championship, League One and WSL that tries to be genuinely data-driven rather than just opinion dressed up in numbers.
Hull City season ticket holder and Leyton Orient follower — both covered on the site, no bias applied.
Posts go up most days during the season. The model's predictions are published before kick-off and the results tracked openly — good weeks and bad ones.
No agenda. No spin. Just the numbers.