Why Football Models Get Draws Wrong — and What We Did About It
We tested our ML model against Bet365 odds, found a draw blindness problem, tried to fix it with a dedicated ...
Tag: championship
Derby Day and a Title Party? Everything’s at Stake in Championship Gameweek 42
Derby Day and a Title Party? Everything's at Stake in Championship Gameweek 42 Gameweek 42 Preview: Competition: Sky Bet Championship ...
Wrexham vs Southampton: A Play-Off Six-Pointer That Could Define Both Clubs’ Seasons
Wrexham vs Southampton: A Play-Off Six-Pointer That Could Define Both Clubs’ Seasons 📅 Match Details Competition: Sky Bet Championship — ...
Championship Gameweek 40 Review: Millwall Surge, Mr Roy Returns — and the Race Heats Up
Championship Gameweek 40 Review: Millwall Surge, Mr Roy Returns — and the Race Heats Up 📅 Gameweek 40 Summary: Competition: ...
BTP Weekly Digest | 29 March 2026 – 05 April 2026
Championship Millwall made the most dramatic statement of the Easter weekend, with Josh Coburn scoring twice against former club Middlesbrough ...
BTP Weekly Digest | 22 March 2026 – 29 March 2026
Championship The biggest talking point of the week had nothing to do with results. Ipswich Town chairman Mark Ashton was ...
The Championship Lottery
Championship Analysis • 2019/20–2024/25 The Championship Lottery What does it actually take to win promotion — and how thin is ...
Nightmare on Hollyweird Boulevard
Nightmare on Hollyweird Boulevard: Hull City Crash Wrexham's Fairytale 🎥 THE HOLLYWEIRD DOSSIER Before we get to the football, a ...
Leicester City 3-4 Southampton
Leicester City 3-4 Southampton: Saints Pull Off Sensational Comeback From Three Goals Down Match Details: Final Score: Leicester City 3-4 ...
Hayden Hackney: Player Profile
Hayden Hackney: Player Profile Hayden Hackney has established himself as one of the most exciting midfield talents in the Championship ...
Beyond The Prem
Data-first football writing
This site is a hobby project run by a former healthcare professional and computing graduate who likes football and data. There's no monetisation agenda, no ads, and no ambition to become the next big football media brand.
What there is: ML-backed match previews, honest accountability when the model gets it wrong, and analysis covering the Championship, League One and WSL that tries to be genuinely data-driven rather than just opinion dressed up in numbers.
Hull City season ticket holder and Leyton Orient follower — both covered on the site, no bias applied.
Posts go up most days during the season. The model's predictions are published before kick-off and the results tracked openly — good weeks and bad ones.
No agenda. No spin. Just the numbers.