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Championship Gameweek 40 Review: Millwall Surge, Mr Roy Returns — and the Race Heats Up

Kieron by Kieron
05/04/2026
in Championship, Reviews
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Championship Gameweek 40 Review: Millwall Surge, Mr Roy Returns — and the Race Heats Up

📅 Gameweek 40 Summary:
Competition: Sky Bet Championship
Dates: Saturday 3rd April 2026
Matches Played: 11
Total Goals: 35 (Avg: 3.18 per game)
Hull City Result: Drew 1–1 vs Oxford United

Easter weekend brought a full programme of Championship football and it delivered — 35 goals across 11 games, a managerial legend winning on his debut at 78, Josh Coburn twisting the knife on his former club, and Coventry continuing their relentless march towards the title. Hull City picked up a point at Oxford to stay fifth, but with Wrexham level on points the play-off picture is tighter than ever with six games to go.

Jump to:  Results  ·  Talking Points  ·  Match Summaries  ·  Awards  ·  Hull City Focus  ·  Conclusion

Gameweek 40 Results Overview

All Results — Goals vs xG Analysis

Championship - Matchday 40 Review

Season 2025-26 | Post-Match Analysis

35Goals
3.2Per Game
3Home Wins
5Draws
3Away Wins
Middlesbrough
1-2
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
3.04
0.79
Middlesbrough underperformed (-2.0)Millwall overperformed (+1.2)
Friday, 3 April 2026
Leicester
2-2
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
0.41
Preston overperformed (+1.6)
Friday, 3 April 2026
Birmingham
0-1
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
1.52
Birmingham underperformed (-1.1)Blackburn underperformed (-0.5)
Friday, 3 April 2026
West Brom
2-2
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
1.73
Result aligned with xG
Friday, 3 April 2026
Sheffield Utd
3-3
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
1.96
Sheffield Utd overperformed (+2.0)Swansea overperformed (+1.0)
Friday, 3 April 2026
Norwich
1-1
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.44
0.50
Norwich overperformed (+0.6)
Friday, 3 April 2026
QPR
2-1
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
0.34
Watford overperformed (+0.7)
Friday, 3 April 2026
Stoke City
2-0
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
2.54
1.39
Stoke City underperformed (-0.5)Sheffield Wednesday underperformed (-1.4)
Friday, 3 April 2026
Charlton
1-2
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
2.59
Charlton underperformed (-0.6)Bristol City underperformed (-0.6)
Friday, 3 April 2026
Oxford United
1-1
Hull City
Expected Goals (xG)
3.44
0.82
Oxford United underperformed (-2.4)
Friday, 3 April 2026
Coventry
3-2
Derby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
2.18
Coventry overperformed (+1.4)
Friday, 3 April 2026

Goals vs Expected Goals




Results at a Glance

⚽ All Results

Middlesbrough 1–2 Millwall
Sheffield Utd 3–3 Swansea
Stoke City 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday
West Brom 2–2 Wrexham
QPR 2–1 Watford
Birmingham 0–1 Blackburn
Norwich 1–1 Portsmouth
Leicester 2–2 Preston
Oxford United 1–1 Hull City
Charlton 1–2 Bristol City
Coventry 3–2 Derby

← scroll →

Updated Championship Table

🏆 Championship Table

Championship Table

PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Coventry42251078442+4285
2Ipswich41211287142+2975
3Millwall422110115647+973
4Southampton422012107350+2372
5Middlesbrough422012106242+2072
6Hull City42208146460+468
7Wrexham421713126360+364
8Derby42189156153+863
9Norwich42177185550+558
10Bristol City421610165251+158
11QPR421610165863-558
12Watford421415135251+157
13Preston421415135053-357
14Swansea42169175054-457
15Birmingham421511165152-156
16Stoke City421510174946+355
17Sheffield Utd42166205959054
18Charlton421213173951-1249
19Portsmouth421212184357-1448
20Blackburn431212193853-1548
21West Brom421113184256-1446
22Oxford United421014184154-1344
23Leicester421114175464-1041
24Sheffield Wednesday42111302582-57-4

← scroll →

Key Talking Points

📰 The Big Stories

  • Millwall go second. Josh Coburn scored twice against his former club as Millwall beat Middlesbrough 2–1 at the Riverside. The Lions are now one point above Boro in the race for automatic promotion. Coburn’s goals against the club that sold him remain the storyline of the week.
  • Coventry inch towards the title. A 3–2 win over Derby keeps Coventry 11 points clear at the top with six games remaining. Frank Lampard praised Jack Rudoni and Frank Onyeka after another statement victory. The Sky Blues have led the table for 30 of their 40 fixtures this season.
  • Roy Hodgson wins on his return. At 78 years old, Roy Hodgson took charge of Bristol City for the first time and won 2–1 at Charlton. He stood throughout on the touchline and admitted to mixed emotions about the performance but the three points are what matters.
  • Wrexham come back from 2–0 to draw at West Brom. Phil Parkinson’s side clawed back a two-goal deficit at The Hawthorns to draw 2–2 and return to the top six. Parkinson was furious about a penalty decision against Issa Kabore and plans to send a dossier to the head of officials.
  • Sheffield Wednesday’s season in numbers. The Owls lost 2–0 at Stoke to remain on 12 points from 40 games — one win all season. Their relegation from the Championship is a formality; the question now is by how much.
  • Ipswich in the shadows. The Tractor Boys didn’t play this weekend but remain fourth on 69 points from just 38 games. Their two games in hand could yet make them the most dangerous team in the promotion race.

Match Summaries

Middlesbrough 1–2 Millwall

The game of the gameweek for the promotion picture. Josh Coburn—who Middlesbrough sold in January—scored twice at the Riverside to send Millwall second. Middlesbrough’s winless run continues under Kim Hellberg and the gap to Millwall is now one point. The Riverside was a sombre place by full-time.

What It Means: Millwall firmly in the automatic promotion race. Boro’s wobble is becoming a collapse.

Charlton 1–2 Bristol City

Roy Hodgson’s return to management at 78 years old went as well as it possibly could. Bristol City won 2–1 at Charlton in a match that had a seesaw second half, with Hodgson standing throughout on the touchline. He described mixed emotions about the performance but none about the result.

What It Means: Bristol City move to 54 points and 13th. Hodgson has the bounce that new managers invariably bring.

Coventry 3–2 Derby County

Frank Lampard’s Coventry continue their remarkable season, beating Derby 3–2 in a match that was closer than the top-of-the-table side would have wanted. Derby manager John Eustace felt his side performed well but was let down by sloppy goals conceded. Coventry remain 11 points clear with six games to play.

What It Means: Coventry’s title is theirs to lose. At 83 points they could theoretically reach 100 if they win their remaining games.

West Brom 2–2 Wrexham

Wrexham came from 2–0 down to earn a point at The Hawthorns, with Phil Parkinson furious about a penalty decision against Issa Kabore that he described as “very harsh.” The draw keeps Wrexham level on 67 points with Hull City in fifth, separated only by goal difference.

What It Means: The fifth vs sixth battle between Hull and Wrexham could go to the final day.

Sheffield Utd 3–3 Swansea

Six goals at Bramall Lane in a chaotic draw that helped neither side significantly. Swansea’s Zan Vipotnik — the Championship’s top scorer with 18 goals — will have been involved. Sheffield United remain 17th on 51 points.

What It Means: Mid-table stalemate. Both teams have bigger problems to worry about next season.

⭐ Oxford United 1–1 Hull City

🏟 Kassam Stadium

Hull City picked up a point at Oxford United to stay fifth in the Championship, but it was a frustrating afternoon for Tim Walter’s side who will feel they should have won. Oxford — third-bottom and fighting relegation — showed the desperation of a side needing points, making Hull work hard for everything they got.

What It Means: Hull stay fifth on 67 points — level with Wrexham in sixth — with six games remaining. Every point matters now and while a draw on the road is not a disaster, the Tigers will need wins to guarantee their play-off place and push for a higher seeding.

ChampionshipFriday, 03 April 2026 • 14:00Kassam Stadium
Oxford UnitedOxford United
1 - 1Full Time
Hull CityHull City

Match Statistics

3.44
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
3.44
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
34.0
Possession
66.0
16
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
2
12
Shots off Target
7
1
Corners
5
10
Fouls
10
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
1
Saves
3
263
Total Passes
515
165
Accurate Passes
419
63
Pass Accuracy
81

Gameweek Awards

⭐ Player of the Week: Josh Coburn (Millwall)

There was only one candidate this week. Coburn scored twice against Middlesbrough — the club that sold him — to send Millwall above Boro in the promotion race. Whether driven by desire to prove a point or simply in form, Coburn delivered the most consequential individual performance of the gameweek.

🎯 Performance of the Week

Millwall’s 2–1 win away at Middlesbrough — a composed, focused display in one of the division’s most hostile environments, delivered exactly when it mattered most in the promotion race.

🎤 Manager of the Week

Roy Hodgson (Bristol City) — Winning on your first game back in management at 78 years old. Extraordinary.

🔥 Under Pressure

Kim Hellberg (Middlesbrough) — The winless run is now significant and damaging. Boro have dropped from automatic promotion to third. Being overtaken by a side they sold a striker to is a tough one to explain to supporters.

Top Scorers Update

⚽ Championship Top Scorers

1. Žan Vipotnik (Swansea) 18
2. Haji Wright (Coventry) 16
3. Jack Clarke (Ipswich) 14
4. Oliver McBurnie (Hull City) 13
4. Joe Gelhardt (Hull City) 13

← scroll →

Hull City Recent Form

Hull City - Recent League Form

LDDWLW

Gameweek Performance Ratings

Matchday 40 Performance Ratings

Based on xG performance analysis

Millwall1-2 (A)xG: 0.79 (+1.2)
9.1
Coventry3-2xG: 1.57 (+1.4)
8.2
Stoke City2-0xG: 2.54 (-0.5)
7.8
Blackburn0-1 (A)xG: 1.52 (-0.5)
7.7
Preston2-2 (A)xG: 0.41 (+1.6)
7.4
Hull City1-1 (A)xG: 0.82 (+0.2)
7.3
Sheffield Utd3-3xG: 1.04 (+2.0)
7.2
Bristol City1-2 (A)xG: 2.59 (-0.6)
7.2
QPR2-1xG: 2.40 (-0.4)
6.8
West Brom2-2xG: 1.61 (+0.4)
6.4

Hull City Focus

What This Gameweek Means for Hull City

Result: Drew 1–1 away at Oxford United — a point against a desperate team fighting relegation is acceptable, but Hull needed three.

League Position: 5th (unchanged)

Points: 67 from 40 games

Hull sit fifth and level on points with Wrexham in sixth — the same 67 points, separated by goal difference alone. With Ipswich lurking in fourth on 69 points but with two games in hand, Hull’s play-off place is not yet mathematically confirmed. The priority now is to win home games and hope results elsewhere go their way. Six games remain.

Verdict: Mixed. A point away from home is not a disaster, but drawing with a relegation-threatened Oxford at the Kassam when you need maximum points is a missed opportunity. The top six is Hull’s to lose but they cannot afford many more dropped points.

Prediction Tracker

🔮 Season Prediction Record

67 points from 107 predictions (21% of max)

What We Learned

📚 Five Things We Learned

  1. Coventry’s title is essentially done — 83 points with six to play, in a division where second place has 72.
  2. Selling a striker to a promotion rival in January is a significant risk. Middlesbrough are learning that the hard way.
  3. Roy Hodgson still has it. Age is just a number when you have that much experience to draw on.
  4. Sheffield Wednesday’s season is already a historical footnote — one win from 40 games.
  5. The play-off picture will likely go to the final weekend. Hull, Wrexham, Southampton and Derby are all in or around the mix with very little between them.

Looking Ahead: Gameweek 41

👁 Key Fixtures Next Week

  • Ipswich in action — could close to within a point of second if they win
  • Millwall vs anyone — can they back up the Boro result?
  • Middlesbrough need a response — quickly
  • Watch Derby — still very much in the play-off picture despite losing to Coventry

Hull City’s Upcoming Fixtures

Hull City’s Next Fixtures

Hull City - Upcoming League Fixtures

DateHomeAway
18 Apr 2026Hull CityBirmingham
21 Apr 2026LeicesterHull City
25 Apr 2026CharltonHull City

Conclusion

Gameweek 40 had everything: a managerial legend winning on debut, a striker haunting his old club, and a title race that is almost over at the top while remaining utterly chaotic below. Coventry are Championship champions in all but the final whistle. The real story now is who joins them in the Premier League — and whether Hull City can hold on for a play-off place when Wrexham are breathing down their necks with identical points.

Check back later this week for our full Gameweek 41 preview!

Tags: championshipHull citymatch reviewMillwallpromotion raceRoy Hodgson
Kieron

Kieron

Kieron is a healthcare professional turned data analyst and football obsessive. BeyondThePrem was built from scratch as a passion project — the ML models, the pipeline and the plugin are all his own work. He thinks the Championship is the most interesting division in world football and has the spreadsheets to prove it.

Next Post

Wrexham vs Southampton: A Play-Off Six-Pointer That Could Define Both Clubs’ Seasons

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