Numbers versus history: Stevenage host Stockport in the League One play-off opener
The calibrated LR makes Stockport favourites for both legs; Stevenage have won both league meetings this season. The first leg ...
Form versus structure: Middlesbrough host Southampton with the play-off in the balance
Saints arrive at the Riverside on an 18-match league unbeaten run; Boro arrive with the league's best defensive record and ...
Hull City’s data-defying play-off mission faces Millwall acid test
The honest reading of the figures heading into Hull's Friday-night first leg at the MKM — model agreement, model disagreement, ...
Championship 2025/26 — Final Day Review
ReviewFinal TableML Retrospective Coventry sealed the Championship secured on 17th April a 4-0 win at Watford, finishing with a whopping ...
League One 2025/26 — Final Day Review
ReviewFinal TableML Retrospective Lincoln City won the division with 103 points, 12 clear of Cardiff City, who secured automatic promotion ...
Live: Hull City vs Norwich — Final-Day Showdown
Final-day live commentary from the MKM — Hull v Norwich, kick-off 12:30 BST. Auto match report fires at full-time. Match ...
League One Gameweek 46 Preview: O’s in Peril but Bradford Need 3 | Sat 02 May
Final matchday of the League One regular season. Lincoln crowned champions, Cardiff clinched into 2nd, Bolton locked into 3rd. Three ...
Championship Gameweek 46 Preview: Final-Day Promotion Drama | Sat 02 May
With the title already secured and the relegation places mathematically settled, Gameweek 46 arrives with one clear remaining prize: the ...
Championship Promotion Race: Tonight’s Soton-Ipswich and the 6th-Spot Shoot-Out
CHAMPIONSHIP · PROMOTION RACE · PRE-KICKOFF SCENARIOS · TUE 28 APR Three Branches Off One Fixture: How Tonight's Soton-Ipswich Reshapes ...
Championship Matchday 45 Review: Coventry Crowned, Three-Way Shoot-Out for Sixth
Coventry seal the title with a 3-1 over Wrexham, Oxford United go down, and Wrexham, Hull and Derby head into ...
Beyond The Prem
Data-first football writing
This site is a hobby project run by a former healthcare professional and computing graduate who likes football and data. There's no monetisation agenda, no ads, and no ambition to become the next big football media brand.
What there is: ML-backed match previews, honest accountability when the model gets it wrong, and analysis covering the Championship, League One and WSL that tries to be genuinely data-driven rather than just opinion dressed up in numbers.
Hull City season ticket holder and Leyton Orient follower — both covered on the site, no bias applied.
Posts go up most days during the season. The model's predictions are published before kick-off and the results tracked openly — good weeks and bad ones.
No agenda. No spin. Just the numbers.