Tickets Booked, Tigers Trusted: Why I’m Backing Hull Over the Model
CHAMPIONSHIP · PLAY-OFF SEMI-FINAL · LEG 2 · KICKOFF 20:00 BSTTickets Booked, Tigers Trusted: Why I'm Backing Hull Over the ...
BTP Weekly Digest | 03 May 2026 – 10 May 2026
Championship The EFL has charged Southampton with spying on Middlesbrough before their Championship play-off semi-final, after an analyst allegedly recorded ...
Match report: Bolton 1-0 Bradford — League One play-off SF1 first leg
LEAGUE ONE PLAY-OFF · SEMI-FINAL FIRST LEG · MATCH REPORTBolton1 – 0BradfordBolton took a 1-0 lead into the second leg ...
LIVE: Bolton v Bradford — League One play-off SF1 first leg
LEAGUE ONE PLAY-OFF · SEMI-FINAL FIRST LEG · LIVE📺 FROM THE DESKLive commentary on Bolton v Bradford in the League ...
Match report: Stevenage 0-1 Stockport — League One play-off SF1 first leg
Ben Osborn's 90+6 winner from a defensive mix-up gives Stockport a slender first-leg lead heading back to Edgeley Park. The ...
Match report: Middlesbrough 0-0 Southampton — Championship play-off SF1 first leg
Boro dominated possession and shots but couldnt convert; Saints offered little until late. The tie heads to St Mary's on ...
LIVE: Stevenage v Stockport — League One play-off SF1 first leg
Live commentary from the desk. KO 15:00 BST. Stevenage host Stockport in the L1 play-off SF1 first leg — model ...
LIVE: Middlesbrough v Southampton — Championship play-off SF1 first leg
Live commentary from the desk. KO 12:30 BST. Boro host Saints in the Championship play-off SF1 first leg — model ...
WSL closing fortnight: Arsenal’s eight-day triple-header for second place
Manchester City have the trophy. Arsenal have eight days, three games, and the runners-up spot in their hands. Plus Leicester's ...
Table versus xG: Bolton host Bradford with the underlying numbers in disagreement
Bradford finished higher but Bolton's xG +8.99 says they are the better side. Both models favour Bolton at home for ...
Beyond The Prem
Data-first football writing
This site is a hobby project run by a former healthcare professional and computing graduate who likes football and data. There's no monetisation agenda, no ads, and no ambition to become the next big football media brand.
What there is: ML-backed match previews, honest accountability when the model gets it wrong, and analysis covering the Championship, League One and WSL that tries to be genuinely data-driven rather than just opinion dressed up in numbers.
Hull City season ticket holder and Leyton Orient follower — both covered on the site, no bias applied.
Posts go up most days during the season. The model's predictions are published before kick-off and the results tracked openly — good weeks and bad ones.
No agenda. No spin. Just the numbers.