WSL Matchday 20 arrives with Manchester City sitting on 49 points from 19 matches, nine clear of second-placed Chelsea. Arsenal, on 38 points from 17 games, hold three games in hand and remain the quiet threat. Saturday’s headline fixture sees Brighton host City, where a win edges the champions-in-waiting further clear of Chelsea even if Arsenal’s games in hand mean the title cannot yet be formally sealed. Sunday, Everton welcome Chelsea in a contest with implications for both ends of the table.
Gameweek 20 – Stats & Historical Data
All Fixtures — Head to Head, Form & Historical Positions
WSL - Matchday 20 Preview
Season 2025-26 | Powered by historical data
Brighton W6th
Manchester City W1st12 Sep 2025 - 2025-26
London City Lionesses7th
Leicester City WFC12th14 Dec 2025 - 2025-26
Everton W8th
Chelsea W2nd7 Dec 2025 - 2025-26
Tottenham Hotspur W5th
Manchester United W4th14 Dec 2025 - 2025-26
Liverpool W10th
West Ham W11th14 Dec 2025 - 2025-26
Aston Villa W9th
Arsenal W3rd27 Sep 2025 - 2025-26
Matchday 20 - Historical Insights
Champions League Race: Teams in 3rd place at matchday 20 have averaged 44 points historically.
Relegation Battle: Teams in 11th at matchday 20 have averaged 14 points historically.
Everton W at Matchday 20:
- 2024-25: 8th with 20 pts → Finished 8th
- 2023-24: 9th with 19 pts → Finished 8th
- 2022-23: 6th with 27 pts → Finished 6th
- 2021-22: 10th with 18 pts → Finished 10th
Current WSL Table
WSL Table
Women's Super League
Updated: 25 Apr 2026, 3:55 PM
Everton W at Matchday 20 — Through The Years
Everton W Historical Comparison
Historical Position Comparison
Everton W at WSL Matchday 20
| Season | Pos | Pts | GD | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 (now) | 8th | 20 | -9 | - |
| 2024-25 | 8th | 20 | -10 | 8th |
| 2023-24 | 9th | 19 | -17 | 8th |
| 2022-23 | 6th | 27 | -7 | 6th |
| 2021-22 | 10th | 18 | -23 | 10th |
Data from WSL seasons (2020–2025)
Key Storylines This Week
What to Watch For
- City Closing In: Manchester City lead on 49 points with three games left (max 58). Chelsea’s ceiling is 49 and Arsenal’s is 53, so the title is not yet mathematically sealed while Arsenal have games in hand, but a Brighton win moves City another step clear.
- Arsenal’s Game-in-Hand Threat: Chelsea sit 2nd on 40 points from 19, Arsenal 3rd on 38 from 17. If Arsenal win all five remaining fixtures they finish on 53 — four ahead of Chelsea’s maximum possible tally of 49, and in direct reach of City.
- Relegation Picture: Leicester, on 9 points from 18 games, appear destined for the drop; West Ham (13 points) are next most vulnerable, while Liverpool (17 points) still have work to do to secure safety.
WSL Top Scorers
Top Scorers Heading into Gameweek 20
Top Assists
Top Assist Providers
WSL Top Assists
Head to Head
Brighton W vs Manchester City W
Last 5 league meetings
| Date | Home | Score | Away | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2025 2025-26 | Manchester City W | 2 - 1 | Brighton W | - |
| 30 Mar 2025 2024-25 | Brighton W | 1 - 2 | Manchester City W | - |
| 29 Sep 2024 2024-25 | Manchester City W | 1 - 0 | Brighton W | - |
| 17 Mar 2024 2023-24 | Brighton W | 1 - 4 | Manchester City W | - |
| 12 Nov 2023 2023-24 | Manchester City W | 0 - 1 | Brighton W | - |
Recent Form Comparison
Form Comparison - Last 6 Games
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 4 | +15 | 13 | WLWDWW |
| 2 | Brighton W | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 | WLLLDW |
Brighton W - Recent Results
Manchester City W - Recent Results
Shots on Target — Rolling Form
Brighton W — 5-match rolling shots on target, 2025/2026
Rolling 5-match average. Green above red = creating more on-target threat than conceding.
Manchester City W — 5-match rolling shots on target, 2025/2026
Rolling 5-match average. Green above red = creating more on-target threat than conceding.
League Position Momentum
Brighton W — league position, last 10 matchdays
Higher up the chart = higher up the table (y-axis is inverted).
Manchester City W — league position, last 10 matchdays
Higher up the chart = higher up the table (y-axis is inverted).
Goals by Period
Brighton W - Goals by Time Period 2025/2026
Manchester City W - Goals by Time Period 2025/2026
Historical Position at Matchday 20
Historical Position Comparison
Brighton W - Saturday 25th April 2026
| Season | Pos | Pts | GD | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 (now) | 6th | 21 | -1 | - |
| 2024-25 | 5th | 25 | -6 | 5th |
| 2023-24 | 8th | 19 | -16 | 9th |
| 2022-23 | 9th | 16 | -35 | 11th |
| 2021-22 | 7th | 25 | -9 | 7th |
Historical Position Comparison
Manchester City W - Saturday 25th April 2026
| Season | Pos | Pts | GD | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 (now) | 1st | 49 | +40 | - |
| 2024-25 | 4th | 39 | +18 | 4th |
| 2023-24 | 1st | 52 | +46 | 2nd |
| 2022-23 | 4th | 44 | +25 | 4th |
| 2021-22 | 3rd | 41 | +29 | 3rd |
Player to Watch
Khadija Shaw — Manchester City W
Khadija Shaw leads the WSL scoring chart with 12 goals from 10 appearances and is City’s primary attacking threat. Her movement, finishing, and hold-up play will test a Brighton defence that has kept only three clean sheets all season.
Khadija Shaw
Manchester City W • F • 2025-2026 Season
BTP Verdict
City are strong favourites given their goal difference of +40 and Brighton’s inconsistent defensive record. The model assigns a 73% probability to an away win, with a draw at 14% and a home win at 12%.
Everton W vs Chelsea W — Sunday, 12:00 BST
The Opposition: Chelsea sit second on 40 points from 19 games and cannot afford to drop points if they are to keep pressure on City. Their last six read L, W, W, W, D, W — the opener a 1-5 loss at Manchester City, followed by four wins and a draw, including a 4-3 home win over Aston Villa last time out.
Key Battle: Everton midfielder Ruby Mace, with 720 minutes from eight appearances and two assists, will be tasked with disrupting Chelsea’s midfield rhythm. Her ability to break up play and recycle possession is central to Everton’s containment strategy.
What We Think: The model gives Chelsea a 61% chance of victory, Everton 25%, and a draw 13%. Everton’s home form is mixed — three wins in February followed by defeats to Manchester United and Liverpool — while Chelsea’s title motivation edges this in their favour.
Head to Head
Everton W vs Chelsea W
Last 5 league meetings
| Date | Home | Score | Away | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec 2025 2025-26 | Chelsea W | 0 - 1 | Everton W | - |
| 16 Feb 2025 2024-25 | Chelsea W | 2 - 1 | Everton W | - |
| 03 Nov 2024 2024-25 | Everton W | 0 - 5 | Chelsea W | - |
| 04 Feb 2024 2023-24 | Chelsea W | 3 - 0 | Everton W | - |
| 12 Nov 2023 2023-24 | Everton W | 0 - 3 | Chelsea W | - |
Recent Form Comparison
Form Comparison - Last 6 Games
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea W | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 13 | LWWWDW |
| 2 | Everton W | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 12 | WWWWLL |
Everton W - Recent Results
Chelsea W - Recent Results
Shots on Target — Rolling Form
Everton W — 5-match rolling shots on target, 2025/2026
Rolling 5-match average. Green above red = creating more on-target threat than conceding.
Chelsea W — 5-match rolling shots on target, 2025/2026
Rolling 5-match average. Green above red = creating more on-target threat than conceding.
League Position Momentum
Everton W — league position, last 10 matchdays
Higher up the chart = higher up the table (y-axis is inverted).
Chelsea W — league position, last 10 matchdays
Higher up the chart = higher up the table (y-axis is inverted).
Goals by Period
Everton W - Goals by Time Period 2025/2026
Chelsea W - Goals by Time Period 2025/2026
Historical Position at Matchday 20
Historical Position Comparison
Everton W - Sunday 26th April 2026
| Season | Pos | Pts | GD | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 (now) | 8th | 20 | -9 | - |
| 2024-25 | 8th | 20 | -10 | 8th |
| 2023-24 | 9th | 19 | -17 | 8th |
| 2022-23 | 6th | 27 | -7 | 6th |
| 2021-22 | 10th | 18 | -23 | 10th |
Historical Position Comparison
Chelsea W - Sunday 26th April 2026
| Season | Pos | Pts | GD | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 (now) | 2nd | 40 | +18 | - |
| 2024-25 | 1st | 54 | +41 | 1st |
| 2023-24 | 2nd | 49 | +39 | 1st |
| 2022-23 | 1st | 52 | +46 | 1st |
| 2021-22 | 1st | 50 | +48 | 1st |
Everton W Recent Form
Everton W - Recent League Form
Player to Watch
Ruby Mace — Everton W
Ruby Mace has logged eight appearances and 720 minutes this season, contributing two assists but no goals. She provides a reliable midfield presence, and her discipline in screening the back four will be essential against Chelsea’s creative attackers.
Ruby Mace
Everton W • M • 2025-2026 Season
BTP Verdict
Everton are likely to sit deep and look to counter, but Chelsea’s quality in possession should see them control the game. The real tests for Everton come later — Arsenal away on MD21 and Leicester at home on MD22.
wsl_lr_v1_cal, deployed 24 April 2026) posts a log loss of 0.9683 on the 2024/25 holdout, beating both the previous Random Forest baseline (1.0051) and the prior-only baseline (1.0504) — a 3.65% improvement over RF. Probabilities are a genuine data-driven view, not betting tips.
Brighton W vs Manchester City W
📊 ML Probability
Match Prediction
Brighton v Manchester City: The model gives City a 73.4% win probability, Brighton 12.4%, and a draw 14.3%. City’s relentless attacking record and Brighton’s mid-table security drive the strong away bias.
London City Lionesses vs Leicester City WFC
📊 ML Probability
Match Prediction
London City Lionesses v Leicester City: The hosts are clear favourites at 76.7%, with Leicester at 16.0% and a draw at 7.3%. London City’s home form and Leicester’s poor away record underpin the wide probability gap.
Everton W vs Chelsea W
📊 ML Probability
Match Prediction
Everton v Chelsea: Chelsea’s win probability sits at 61.5%, Everton at 25.4%, and a draw at 13.1%. Chelsea’s superior squad depth and motivation offset Everton’s recent home performances.
Tottenham Hotspur W vs Manchester United W
📊 ML Probability
Match Prediction
Tottenham v Manchester United: The model sees a narrow away edge at 49.0%, with Tottenham at 34.1% and a draw at 16.9%. Manchester United’s recovery from recent defeats and Tottenham’s inconsistent form make this the closest call of the weekend.
Liverpool W vs West Ham W
📊 ML Probability
Match Prediction
Liverpool v West Ham: Liverpool are favourites at 64.7%, West Ham at 22.6%, and a draw at 12.8%. Liverpool’s home advantage and West Ham’s relegation scrap contribute to the gap, though West Ham’s desperation could narrow it.
Aston Villa W vs Arsenal W
📊 ML Probability
Aston Villa v Arsenal is scheduled for 9 May and is not part of this weekend’s action; model probabilities will be published closer to kickoff.
🤖 Model Notes — GW20
Model: wsl_lr_v1_cal — a Platt-calibrated logistic regression using player-quality features, deployed 24 April 2026. Trained on 659 WSL matches from 2020/21 to 2024/25, it achieved a holdout log-loss of 0.9683, outperforming a random forest baseline (1.0051). This week’s predictions highlight City’s dominance and Chelsea’s resilience, while the Everton-Chelsea fixture remains the tightest top-end contest.
Model: Platt-calibrated Logistic Regression with player-quality features (wsl_lr_v1_cal, deployed 24 April 2026). Training: 659 WSL matches across 2020/21–2024/25. 2024/25 walk-forward holdout log-loss 0.9683, beating the prior RF (1.0051) and the class-prior baseline (1.0504). Full methodology here.
Final Thoughts
Manchester City are on the verge of the title; the subplot of Chelsea versus Arsenal for second place adds intrigue to the run-in. Everton, comfortably mid-table, can play without pressure but must avoid a damaging defeat that drags them back into the relegation conversation.
Best case for Everton W: Everton hold Chelsea to a draw, earning a point and denting the visitors’ title hopes.
Worst case: Chelsea win comfortably, exposing Everton’s recent defensive frailties and leaving them looking over their shoulder.
Everton W Upcoming Fixtures
Next Fixtures
Everton W - Upcoming League Fixtures
| Date | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr 2026 | Everton W | Chelsea W |
| 13 May 2026 | Arsenal W | Everton W |
| 16 May 2026 | Everton W | Leicester City WFC |
Check back after the weekend for our full Gameweek 20 WSL review with match reports and updated standings!
