Championship Gameweek 37 Preview: Play-Off Six-Pointer & Relegation Drama
Gameweek 37 Preview: Competition:Sky Bet Championship Dates: Tue 10th – Wed 11th March Number of Fixtures: 12 Hull City: AWAY vs Wrexham (Tue, 7:45pm)
Round 37 of the Sky Bet Championship lands across Tuesday and Wednesday night with a bumper 12-fixture programme that could dramatically reshape the picture at both ends of the table. Hull City travel to a fired-up Wrexham in a direct play-off six-pointer, while Leicester City’s survival bid reaches crisis point at the King Power. With just nine games remaining, every result counts — and this midweek double-header could prove pivotal.
Gameweek 37 – Stats & Historical Data
All Fixtures – Head to Head, xG Form & Historical Positions
Championship - Matchday 37 Preview
Season 2025-26 | Powered by 6 seasons of historical data
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Portsmouth 1 wins, 1 draws, Swansea 2 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: Portsmouth 1-2 Swansea (xG: 0.9-0.7)
2025-26: Swansea 1-0 Portsmouth (xG: 0.8-0.8)
2024-25: Portsmouth 4-0 Swansea (xG: 1.7-1.1)
Wrexham vs Hull City - Historical Insights
Hull City at Matchday 37:
2024-25: 18th with 40 pts → Finished 21st
2023-24: 7th with 58 pts → Finished 7th
2022-23: 15th with 46 pts → Finished 15th
2021-22: 21st with 38 pts → Finished 20th
2019-20: 21st with 41 pts → Finished 24th
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Wrexham 0 wins, 0 draws, Hull City 2 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: Wrexham 1-2 Hull City (xG: 1.1-1.5)
2025-26: Hull City 2-0 Wrexham (xG: 2.3-1.3)
Stoke City vs Ipswich - Historical Insights
Stoke City at Matchday 37:
2024-25: 19th with 39 pts → Finished 18th
2023-24: 19th with 41 pts → Finished 17th
2022-23: 14th with 47 pts → Finished 16th
2021-22: 16th with 46 pts → Finished 14th
2020-21: 11th with 49 pts → Finished 14th
2019-20: 17th with 42 pts → Finished 16th
Ipswich at Matchday 37:
2023-24: 3rd with 78 pts → Finished 2nd
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Stoke City 0 wins, 2 draws, Ipswich 2 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: Stoke City 3-3 Ipswich (xG: 3.4-1.5)
2025-26: Ipswich 1-0 Stoke City (xG: 0.9-0.3)
2023-24: Stoke City 0-0 Ipswich (xG: 0.4-0.6)
Birmingham vs QPR - Historical Insights
Birmingham at Matchday 37:
2023-24: 21st with 39 pts → Finished 22nd
2022-23: 18th with 42 pts → Finished 17th
2021-22: 20th with 41 pts → Finished 21st
2020-21: 21st with 38 pts → Finished 18th
2019-20: 16th with 47 pts → Finished 21st
QPR at Matchday 37:
2024-25: 14th with 44 pts → Finished 15th
2023-24: 20th with 39 pts → Finished 18th
2022-23: 19th with 42 pts → Finished 21st
2021-22: 5th with 59 pts → Finished 11th
2020-21: 12th with 49 pts → Finished 9th
2019-20: 13th with 50 pts → Finished 14th
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Birmingham 4 wins, 3 draws, QPR 5 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: Birmingham 1-0 QPR (xG: 1.6-0.4)
2025-26: QPR 2-1 Birmingham (xG: 1.5-0.3)
2023-24: QPR 2-1 Birmingham (xG: 1.7-0.9)
Norwich vs Sheffield Utd - Historical Insights
Norwich at Matchday 37:
2024-25: 12th with 49 pts → Finished 13th
2023-24: 6th with 58 pts → Finished 6th
2022-23: 7th with 56 pts → Finished 13th
2020-21: 1st with 82 pts → Finished 1st
Sheffield Utd at Matchday 37:
2024-25: 2nd with 79 pts → Finished 3rd
2022-23: 2nd with 70 pts → Finished 2nd
2021-22: 4th with 60 pts → Finished 5th
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Norwich 1 wins, 3 draws, Sheffield Utd 2 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: Norwich 2-1 Sheffield Utd (xG: 1.8-0.7)
2025-26: Sheffield Utd 1-1 Norwich (xG: 2.9-1.3)
2024-25: Sheffield Utd 2-0 Norwich (xG: 2.1-0.4)
West Brom vs Southampton - Historical Insights
West Brom at Matchday 37:
2024-25: 5th with 56 pts → Finished 9th
2023-24: 5th with 63 pts → Finished 5th
2022-23: 8th with 55 pts → Finished 9th
2021-22: 13th with 53 pts → Finished 10th
2019-20: 2nd with 70 pts → Finished 2nd
Southampton at Matchday 37:
2023-24: 4th with 76 pts → Finished 4th
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): West Brom 0 wins, 2 draws, Southampton 4 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: West Brom 1-1 Southampton (xG: 1.6-1.1)
2025-26: Southampton 3-2 West Brom (xG: 1.0-1.3)
2023-24: Southampton 3-1 West Brom
Middlesbrough vs Charlton - Historical Insights
Middlesbrough at Matchday 37:
2024-25: 8th with 53 pts → Finished 10th
2023-24: 9th with 53 pts → Finished 8th
2022-23: 3rd with 64 pts → Finished 4th
2021-22: 9th with 56 pts → Finished 7th
2020-21: 8th with 56 pts → Finished 10th
2019-20: 19th with 41 pts → Finished 18th
Charlton at Matchday 37:
2019-20: 22nd with 39 pts → Finished 23rd
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Middlesbrough 3 wins, 0 draws, Charlton 1 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: Middlesbrough 0-1 Charlton (xG: 1.8-0.7)
2025-26: Charlton 1-2 Middlesbrough (xG: 0.3-0.7)
2019-20: Charlton 0-1 Middlesbrough
Oxford United vs Blackburn - Historical Insights
Oxford United at Matchday 37:
2024-25: 20th with 39 pts → Finished 17th
Blackburn at Matchday 37:
2024-25: 9th with 52 pts → Finished 7th
2023-24: 18th with 41 pts → Finished 19th
2022-23: 5th with 61 pts → Finished 7th
2021-22: 7th with 58 pts → Finished 8th
2020-21: 15th with 45 pts → Finished 15th
2019-20: 10th with 53 pts → Finished 11th
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Oxford United 2 wins, 1 draws, Blackburn 1 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: Oxford United 1-0 Blackburn (xG: 1.2-0.5)
2025-26: Blackburn 1-1 Oxford United (xG: 2.3-0.3)
2024-25: Oxford United 1-0 Blackburn (xG: 1.3-0.9)
Coventry vs Preston - Historical Insights
Coventry at Matchday 37:
2024-25: 6th with 56 pts → Finished 5th
2023-24: 8th with 57 pts → Finished 9th
2022-23: 9th with 54 pts → Finished 5th
2021-22: 10th with 54 pts → Finished 12th
2020-21: 19th with 41 pts → Finished 16th
Preston at Matchday 37:
2024-25: 15th with 44 pts → Finished 20th
2023-24: 11th with 53 pts → Finished 10th
2022-23: 11th with 53 pts → Finished 12th
2021-22: 14th with 51 pts → Finished 13th
2020-21: 16th with 44 pts → Finished 13th
2019-20: 6th with 56 pts → Finished 9th
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Coventry 2 wins, 3 draws, Preston 7 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: Coventry 3-0 Preston (xG: 4.0-0.4)
2025-26: Preston 1-1 Coventry (xG: 0.3-2.0)
2024-25: Coventry 2-1 Preston (xG: 1.8-1.0)
Current Championship Table
Championship Table
Championship Table
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Coventry
42
25
10
7
84
42
+42
85
2
Ipswich
40
21
12
7
71
40
+31
75
3
Millwall
42
21
10
11
56
47
+9
73
4
Middlesbrough
42
20
12
10
62
42
+20
72
5
Southampton
41
19
12
10
70
50
+20
69
6
Hull City
42
20
8
14
64
60
+4
68
7
Wrexham
42
17
13
12
63
60
+3
64
8
Derby
42
18
9
15
61
53
+8
63
9
Norwich
42
17
7
18
55
50
+5
58
10
Bristol City
42
16
10
16
52
51
+1
58
11
QPR
42
16
10
16
58
63
-5
58
12
Watford
42
14
15
13
52
51
+1
57
13
Preston
42
14
15
13
50
53
-3
57
14
Swansea
42
16
9
17
50
54
-4
57
15
Birmingham
42
15
11
16
51
52
-1
56
16
Stoke City
42
15
10
17
49
46
+3
55
17
Sheffield Utd
42
16
6
20
59
59
0
54
18
Charlton
42
12
13
17
39
51
-12
49
19
Blackburn
42
12
12
18
38
50
-12
48
20
West Brom
42
11
13
18
42
56
-14
46
21
Portsmouth
41
11
12
18
41
57
-16
45
22
Oxford United
42
10
14
18
41
54
-13
44
23
Leicester
42
11
14
17
54
64
-10
41
24
Sheffield Wednesday
42
1
11
30
25
82
-57
-4
← scroll →
Hull City at Matchday 37 – Through The Years
Hull City Historical Comparison
Historical Position Comparison
Hull City at Matchday 37
Season
Pos
Pts
GD
xGD
Form
Final
2025-26(now)
6th
68
+4
-18.0
LWDDL
-
2024-25
18th
40
-8
-4.5
WLWDW
21st
2023-24
7th
58
+7
+6.7
WDDDD
7th
2022-23
15th
46
-10
+0.0
DLWDL
15th
2021-22
21st
38
-11
+0.0
DLWLD
20th
2019-20
21st
41
-14
+0.0
DLLLL
24th
Data from 6 Championship seasons (2019-2025)
Key Storylines This Week
What to Watch For
Play-Off Shootout at the Racecourse: Fifth-placed Hull City travel to sixth-placed Wrexham in the most compelling fixture of the night — a direct six-pointer that could swap the sides in the table. Wrexham also hold a game in hand, making this enormous for both clubs’ top-six ambitions.
Leicester’s Survival Crisis: The Foxes sit bottom with 35 points, winless in 10 league games and without a home win in four. A Bristol City side in mid-table comfort arrive at the King Power, and Gary Rowett’s men simply cannot afford another dropped result if they are to beat the drop.
Coventry’s March Towards the Premier League: Five wins on the bounce have put Coventry in the driving seat at the summit with 74 points. A sixth straight win against Preston on Wednesday night could put significant daylight between themselves and their nearest rivals, with Middlesbrough and Millwall in action on Tuesday.
Championship Top Scorers
Top Scorers Heading into Gameweek 37
Championship Top Scorers
Rank
Player
Team
Goals
1
Žan Vipotnik
Swansea
21
2
Haji Wright
Coventry
16
3
Oliver McBurnie
Hull City
14
4
Jack Clarke
Ipswich
14
5
Joe Gelhardt
Hull City
13
6
Josh Windass
Wrexham
12
7
Brandon Thomas-Asante
Coventry
12
8
Carlton Morris
Derby
12
9
Scott Twine
Bristol City
11
10
Morgan Whittaker
Middlesbrough
11
← scroll →
Top Assists
Top Assist Providers
Championship Top Assists
Rank
Player
Team
Assists
1
Gustavo Hamer
Sheffield Utd
11
2
Sorba Thomas
Stoke City
10
3
Imrân Louza
Watford
9
4
Michael Johnston
West Brom
9
5
Josh Tymon
Swansea
9
6
Lewis Dobbin
Preston
8
7
Leo Scienza
Southampton
8
8
Ryoya Morishita
Blackburn
8
9
Ryan Giles
Hull City
8
10
Milan van Ewijk
Coventry
8
← scroll →
Match of the Week: Millwall vs Derby County
Tuesday 7:45pm
Millwall vs Derby County is the standout fixture among Tuesday’s six games and arguably the most enticing match of the entire midweek round. The Lions are in relentless form — unbeaten in eight, having dispatched Hull 3-1 at the weekend — and are piling serious pressure on the automatic promotion places. Derby arrive as genuine contenders themselves, boasting the fifth-best away record in the division and having scored in 25 of their last 26 matches. A Millwall win would send them to within a point of second-placed Middlesbrough; a Derby victory would thrust them firmly back into the play-off conversation.
Head to Head
Millwall vs Derby
Last 5 league meetings
Millwall3Wins
2Draws
Derby0Wins
Total Goals: 6 - 3
Date
Home
Score
Away
xG
10 Mar 2026 2025-26
Millwall
1 - 0
Derby
1.7 - 1.3
10 Dec 2025 2025-26
Derby
1 - 1
Millwall
1.2 - 0.9
22 Feb 2025 2024-25
Derby
0 - 1
Millwall
0.4 - 2.4
19 Oct 2024 2024-25
Millwall
1 - 1
Derby
1.9 - 0.7
23 Feb 2022 2021-22
Derby
1 - 2
Millwall
-
Recent Form Comparison
Form Comparison - Last 6 Games
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
Form
1
Derby
6
3
0
3
7
6
+1
9
LWWLWL
2
Millwall
6
2
2
2
6
6
0
8
WLDWLD
Millwall - Recent Results
W1-0vs Derby (H)
L1-2vs Blackburn (H)
D1-1vs Ipswich (A)
W2-1vs Middlesbrough (A)
L1-2vs Norwich (H)
D0-0vs West Brom (A)
Derby - Recent Results
L0-1vs Millwall (A)
W1-0vs Portsmouth (A)
W1-0vs Birmingham (H)
L2-3vs Coventry (A)
W2-0vs Stoke City (H)
L1-2vs Southampton (A)
xG Trends
Millwall - 10-Match Rolling xG 2025/2026
Rolling 10-match average | Green above red = Creating more than conceding
Derby - 10-Match Rolling xG 2025/2026
Rolling 10-match average | Green above red = Creating more than conceding
Goals by Period
Millwall - Goals by Time Period 2025/2026
Best Scoring Period
76-90+ mins
Most Vulnerable Period
76-90+ mins
Derby - Goals by Time Period 2025/2026
Best Scoring Period
31-45 mins
Most Vulnerable Period
76-90+ mins
Historical Position at Matchday 37
Historical Position Comparison
Millwall - Tuesday 10th March 2026
Season
Pos
Pts
GD
xGD
Form
Final
2025-26(now)
3rd
73
+9
+0.6
LDWLD
-
2024-25
13th
48
-3
+2.6
DWLWL
8th
2023-24
16th
43
-12
-11.6
LWWDW
13th
2022-23
6th
60
+9
+0.0
WDLWW
8th
2021-22
12th
54
+2
+0.0
WWDDL
9th
2020-21
10th
49
+1
+0.0
LWLWL
11th
2019-20
8th
54
+4
+0.0
WLDDW
8th
Historical Position Comparison
Derby - Tuesday 10th March 2026
Season
Pos
Pts
GD
xGD
Form
Final
2025-26(now)
8th
63
+8
+2.3
WWLWL
-
2024-25
22nd
35
-12
-8.1
LLLWW
19th
2021-22
17th
45
-5
+0.0
LLLWL
17th
2020-21
20th
40
-14
+0.0
LLDLD
22nd
2019-20
12th
51
+0
+0.0
DDLWW
10th
Player to Watch
Ben Brereton Díaz (Derby County)
Ben Brereton Díaz has been Derby’s chief threat throughout a brilliant campaign and arrives at The Den in fine form. His movement in behind, directness on the ball, and ability to create chances out of nothing make him the key danger man for Paul Warne’s side on the road. Millwall’s defence will need to be at their disciplined best to keep him quiet on a big night under the lights.
Ben Brereton Díaz
Derby • M • 2025-2026 Season
36 apps7 goals3 assists6.74 avg rating
BTP Verdict
Millwall’s home fortress and their relentless momentum give them the edge here, but Derby’s quality away from home means this will not be straightforward. Goals look inevitable — Derby have scored in 25 of their last 26 — but the Lions’ clinical finishing and Alex Neil’s tactical acumen should see them edge a thriller at The Den.
Prediction
2-1
One to Watch
Ben Brereton Díaz
Key Battle
Millwall midfield vs Derby attack
Hull City vs Wrexham — Tue, 7:45pm
The Opposition: Wrexham arrive at the Racecourse on a wave of momentum following their heroic FA Cup display against Chelsea — holding the Premier League side to 2-2 after 90 minutes before falling in extra time with ten men. Phil Parkinson’s side are formidable at home, backed by a passionate and vocal crowd with the Hollywood factor adding an extra charge to the atmosphere. The key question is how much that 120-minute Cup battle took out of them physically and emotionally heading into this huge league six-pointer.
Key Battle: The pivotal duel will be Joe Gelhardt against Wrexham’s centre-back pairing. Hull’s top scorer with 12 goals this season thrives in the counter-attacking style that will be Hull’s primary weapon here, and if he can get even half a yard, he is capable of making it count.
What We Think: Two consecutive defeats have dented Hull’s momentum and the Racecourse will be a tough place to arrest that slide. Wrexham’s home advantage, their game in hand, and residual FA Cup energy all point toward the hosts, but Hull’s defensive discipline on the road — and Gelhardt’s threat on the break — gives them a fighting chance of snatching something. Our prediction leans toward a Wrexham win, but a Hull smash-and-grab is very much on the cards.
Head to Head
Hull City vs Wrexham
Last 2 league meetings
Hull City2Wins
0Draws
Wrexham0Wins
Total Goals: 4 - 1
Date
Home
Score
Away
xG
10 Mar 2026 2025-26
Wrexham
1 - 2
Hull City
1.1 - 1.5
10 Dec 2025 2025-26
Hull City
2 - 0
Wrexham
2.3 - 1.3
Recent Form Comparison
Form Comparison - Last 6 Games
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
Form
1
Hull City
6
2
2
2
7
8
-1
8
WLWDDL
2
Wrexham
6
2
1
3
8
13
-5
7
WLWDLL
Hull City - Recent Results
W2-1vs Wrexham (A)
L0-3vs West Brom (A)
W3-1vs Sheffield Wednesday (H)
D1-1vs Oxford United (A)
D0-0vs Coventry (H)
L1-2vs Sheffield Utd (A)
Wrexham - Recent Results
W2-0vs Swansea (H)
L1-3vs Watford (A)
W2-1vs Sheffield Utd (A)
D2-2vs West Brom (A)
L1-5vs Southampton (H)
L0-2vs Birmingham (A)
xG Trends
Hull City - 10-Match Rolling xG 2025/2026
Rolling 10-match average | Green above red = Creating more than conceding
Wrexham - 10-Match Rolling xG 2025/2026
Rolling 10-match average | Green above red = Creating more than conceding
Goals by Period
Hull City - Goals by Time Period 2025/2026
Best Scoring Period
31-45 mins
Most Vulnerable Period
76-90+ mins
Wrexham - Goals by Time Period 2025/2026
Best Scoring Period
76-90+ mins
Most Vulnerable Period
76-90+ mins
Historical Position at Matchday 37
Historical Position Comparison
Hull City - Tuesday 10th March 2026
Season
Pos
Pts
GD
xGD
Form
Final
2025-26(now)
6th
68
+4
-18.0
LWDDL
-
2024-25
18th
40
-8
-4.5
WLWDW
21st
2023-24
7th
58
+7
+6.7
WDDDD
7th
2022-23
15th
46
-10
+0.0
DLWDL
15th
2021-22
21st
38
-11
+0.0
DLWLD
20th
2019-20
21st
41
-14
+0.0
DLLLL
24th
Historical Position Comparison
Wrexham - Tuesday 10th March 2026
Season
Pos
Pts
GD
xGD
Form
Final
2025-26(now)
7th
68
+4
-18.0
LWDDL
-
Hull City Recent Form
Hull City - Recent League Form
LDDWLW
Player to Watch
Joe Gelhardt — Hull City
Joe Gelhardt has been Hull’s most consistent attacking threat all season with 12 goals in the Championship, and if Hull are going to get anything at the Racecourse, they’ll need him to be sharp on the counter-attack. His movement in behind opposition defences and composure in front of goal make him the one player that Wrexham will most want to keep quiet. A big performance from Gelhardt could be the difference in a tight, tense six-pointer.
Joe Gelhardt
Hull City • M • 2025-2026 Season
35 apps13 goals4 assists6.97 avg rating
BTP Verdict
Hull City need to rediscover the defensive solidity and attacking efficiency that has made them such a hard side to beat away from home this season. After a deeply frustrating afternoon against Millwall — 23 shots, just one goal — the focus must shift to the clinical, regimented away performance that is their trademark. It’s a tough ask at the Racecourse, but a point would still be a very valuable result.
Prediction
2-1
One to Watch
Joe Gelhardt
Key Battle
Gelhardt vs Wrexham CB
BTP Predictions — Gameweek 37
Our Predictions
Season record: 67/321 (21%)
Leicester City vs Bristol City
2-1
Portsmouth vs Swansea City
1-1
Sheffield Wednesday vs Watford
1-3
Stoke City vs Ipswich Town
1-3
Birmingham City vs QPR
1-0
Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic
3-0
Millwall vs Derby County
2-1
Norwich City vs Sheffield United
1-1
Oxford United vs Blackburn Rovers
2-1
West Brom vs Southampton
0-0
Wrexham vs Hull City
2-1
Coventry City vs Preston North End
2-0
Final Thoughts
Gameweek 37 serves up 12 crucial fixtures that could redefine the Championship picture at both ends. Coventry look odds-on to stretch their lead at the summit on Wednesday night, while the Wrexham vs Hull six-pointer on Tuesday is the tie of the round in the play-off race. At the bottom, Sheffield Wednesday’s ongoing winless record and Leicester’s crisis make for grim reading for their supporters — but their results will have a knock-on effect on the survival battle below them.
Best case for Hull City: Hull show defensive resilience and tactical discipline at the Racecourse to snatch a 1-1 draw, keeping their play-off advantage intact while Wrexham fail to leapfrog them.
Worst case: A third consecutive defeat at the Racecourse leaves Hull looking nervously over their shoulder as Wrexham leapfrog them into fifth with a game in hand still to play.
Kieron is a healthcare professional turned data analyst and football obsessive. BeyondThePrem was built from scratch as a passion project — the ML models, the pipeline and the plugin are all his own work. He thinks the Championship is the most interesting division in world football and has the spreadsheets to prove it.