Championship Gameweek 33 Preview: Playoff Race Heats Up As Derby Day Looms

Gameweek 33 Overview:
Competition: Sky Bet Championship
Dates: Sat 21st to Sun 22nd February 2026
Number of Fixtures: 12
Hull City: Home vs QPR (Sat 12:30pm)

Gameweek 33 is one of the most loaded weekends of the Championship season so far. Coventry City sit back on top of the table after a statement Monday-night win over Middlesbrough, and if they follow it up by beating West Brom on Saturday, Sheffield Wednesday’s relegation could be confirmed at Bramall Lane on Sunday — one of the most extraordinary storylines the Championship has served up in years. Our Match of the Week sees Millwall host Portsmouth at The Den, a compelling mix of playoff ambition against pure survival fight. Meanwhile Hull City, three games without a win, need a home performance against an injury-ravaged QPR side to reignite their own push for the top six.

Gameweek 33 – Stats & Historical Data

All Fixtures – Head to Head, xG Form & Historical Positions

Championship - Matchday 33 Preview

Season 2025-26 | Powered by 6 seasons of historical data

Select Fixture:

Blackburn19th

Preston13th

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons)

Blackburn

6W4D4W

Preston

xG Form (Last 5 games)

Blackburn
xGF: 5.3 | xGA: 6.2 (-1.0)

Preston
xGF: 6.9 | xGA: 6.1 (+0.7)

Position at Matchday 33 (Historical)

Blackburn: 2024-25: 5th (51pts) | 2023-24: 15th (38pts) | 2022-23: 4th (52pts)

Preston: 2024-25: 15th (42pts) | 2023-24: 9th (49pts) | 2022-23: 12th (43pts)

Last Meeting

Blackburn 1-0 Preston (xG: 1.1-0.1)
20 Feb 2026 - 2025-26

West Brom21st

Coventry1st

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons)

West Brom

5W1D4W

Coventry

xG Form (Last 5 games)

West Brom
xGF: 8.2 | xGA: 4.1 (+4.1)

Coventry
xGF: 9.3 | xGA: 7.2 (+2.1)

Position at Matchday 33 (Historical)

West Brom: 2024-25: 6th (48pts) | 2023-24: 5th (55pts) | 2022-23: 10th (48pts)

Coventry: 2024-25: 8th (47pts) | 2023-24: 7th (51pts) | 2022-23: 11th (46pts)

Last Meeting

West Brom 0-2 Coventry (xG: 0.8-1.2)
21 Feb 2026 - 2025-26

Hull City6th

QPR11th

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons)

Hull City

4W1D7W

QPR

xG Form (Last 5 games)

Hull City
xGF: 6.0 | xGA: 8.0 (-1.9)

QPR
xGF: 7.4 | xGA: 3.8 (+3.6)

Position at Matchday 33 (Historical)

Hull City: 2024-25: 21st (30pts) | 2023-24: 6th (54pts) | 2022-23: 15th (42pts)

QPR: 2024-25: 13th (44pts) | 2023-24: 22nd (32pts) | 2022-23: 18th (39pts)

Last Meeting

Hull City 1-3 QPR (xG: 2.1-1.6)
21 Feb 2026 - 2025-26

Stoke City16th

Leicester20th

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons)

Stoke City

0W1D3W

Leicester

xG Form (Last 5 games)

Stoke City
xGF: 7.2 | xGA: 9.1 (-1.9)

Leicester
xGF: 8.4 | xGA: 4.1 (+4.3)

Position at Matchday 33 (Historical)

Stoke City: 2024-25: 19th (35pts) | 2023-24: 19th (35pts) | 2022-23: 17th (40pts)

Leicester: 2023-24: 1st (78pts)

Last Meeting

Stoke City 2-2 Leicester (xG: 1.8-1.5)
21 Feb 2026 - 2025-26

Swansea14th

Bristol City10th

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons)

Swansea

6W4D4W

Bristol City

xG Form (Last 5 games)

Swansea
xGF: 7.4 | xGA: 8.7 (-1.3)

Bristol City
xGF: 4.3 | xGA: 9.0 (-4.7)

Position at Matchday 33 (Historical)

Swansea: 2024-25: 17th (37pts) | 2023-24: 18th (36pts) | 2022-23: 14th (42pts)

Bristol City: 2024-25: 9th (46pts) | 2023-24: 13th (44pts) | 2022-23: 13th (42pts)

Last Meeting

Swansea 1-0 Bristol City (xG: 0.6-0.7)
21 Feb 2026 - 2025-26

Watford12th

Derby8th

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons)

Watford

6W0D0W

Derby

xG Form (Last 5 games)

Watford
xGF: 4.7 | xGA: 8.9 (-4.2)

Derby
xGF: 7.8 | xGA: 5.3 (+2.5)

Position at Matchday 33 (Historical)

Watford: 2024-25: 11th (45pts) | 2023-24: 12th (44pts) | 2022-23: 7th (50pts)

Derby: 2024-25: 22nd (29pts) | 2021-22: 16th (42pts) | 2020-21: 18th (39pts)

Last Meeting

Watford 2-0 Derby (xG: 1.6-0.7)
21 Feb 2026 - 2025-26

Southampton5th

Charlton18th

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons)

Southampton

1W1D0W

Charlton

xG Form (Last 5 games)

Southampton
xGF: 8.9 | xGA: 6.6 (+2.3)

Charlton
xGF: 7.3 | xGA: 7.8 (-0.5)

Position at Matchday 33 (Historical)

Southampton: 2023-24: 4th (67pts)

Charlton: 2019-20: 19th (36pts)

Last Meeting

Southampton 1-1 Charlton (xG: 1.1-0.9)
21 Feb 2026 - 2025-26

Millwall3rd

Portsmouth22nd

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons)

Millwall

2W0D2W

Portsmouth

xG Form (Last 5 games)

Millwall
xGF: 5.8 | xGA: 10.1 (-4.4)

Portsmouth
xGF: 4.8 | xGA: 5.7 (-0.9)

Position at Matchday 33 (Historical)

Millwall: 2024-25: 14th (42pts) | 2023-24: 21st (33pts) | 2022-23: 5th (51pts)

Portsmouth: 2024-25: 18th (36pts)

Last Meeting

Millwall 1-3 Portsmouth (xG: 0.4-1.4)
21 Feb 2026 - 2025-26

Middlesbrough4th

Oxford United23rd

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons)

Middlesbrough

2W2D0W

Oxford United

xG Form (Last 5 games)

Middlesbrough
xGF: 11.5 | xGA: 3.7 (+7.8)

Oxford United
xGF: 9.1 | xGA: 5.8 (+3.3)

Position at Matchday 33 (Historical)

Middlesbrough: 2024-25: 7th (47pts) | 2023-24: 11th (47pts) | 2022-23: 3rd (57pts)

Oxford United: 2024-25: 16th (38pts)

Last Meeting

Middlesbrough 0-0 Oxford United (xG: 2.2-0.8)
21 Feb 2026 - 2025-26

Norwich9th

Birmingham15th

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons)

Norwich

5W0D3W

Birmingham

xG Form (Last 5 games)

Norwich
xGF: 5.9 | xGA: 5.4 (+0.5)

Birmingham
xGF: 4.2 | xGA: 6.2 (-2.1)

Position at Matchday 33 (Historical)

Norwich: 2024-25: 12th (44pts) | 2023-24: 8th (51pts) | 2022-23: 9th (49pts)

Birmingham: 2023-24: 16th (38pts) | 2022-23: 19th (38pts) | 2021-22: 20th (37pts)

Last Meeting

Norwich 1-2 Birmingham (xG: 1.4-1.3)
21 Feb 2026 - 2025-26

Wrexham7th

Ipswich2nd

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons)

Wrexham

1W1D0W

Ipswich

xG Form (Last 5 games)

Wrexham
xGF: 4.7 | xGA: 10.5 (-5.8)

Ipswich
xGF: 9.0 | xGA: 6.6 (+2.3)

Position at Matchday 33 (Historical)

Ipswich: 2023-24: 3rd (69pts)

Last Meeting

Wrexham 5-3 Ipswich (xG: 2.1-0.8)
21 Feb 2026 - 2025-26

Sheffield Utd17th

Sheffield Wednesday24th

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons)

Sheffield Utd

4W0D0W

Sheffield Wednesday

xG Form (Last 5 games)

Sheffield Utd
xGF: 7.9 | xGA: 6.5 (+1.4)

Sheffield Wednesday
xGF: 4.3 | xGA: 12.6 (-8.4)

Position at Matchday 33 (Historical)

Sheffield Utd: 2024-25: 2nd (72pts) | 2022-23: 2nd (64pts) | 2021-22: 3rd (56pts)

Sheffield Wednesday: 2024-25: 10th (45pts) | 2023-24: 23rd (29pts) | 2020-21: 22nd (34pts)

Last Meeting

Sheffield Utd 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday (xG: 2.0-0.2)
22 Feb 2026 - 2025-26

Matchday 33 - Historical Insights

Playoff Race: Teams in 6th place at matchday 33 have averaged 52 points historically.

Relegation Battle: Teams in 22nd at matchday 33 have averaged 32 points historically.

Hull City at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 21st with 30 pts → Finished 21st
2023-24: 6th with 54 pts → Finished 7th
2022-23: 15th with 42 pts → Finished 15th
2021-22: 22nd with 34 pts → Finished 20th
2019-20: 17th with 41 pts → Finished 24th

Blackburn vs Preston - Historical Insights

Blackburn at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 5th with 51 pts → Finished 7th
2023-24: 15th with 38 pts → Finished 19th
2022-23: 4th with 52 pts → Finished 7th
2021-22: 4th with 55 pts → Finished 8th
2020-21: 16th with 41 pts → Finished 15th
2019-20: 8th with 50 pts → Finished 11th

Preston at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 15th with 42 pts → Finished 20th
2023-24: 9th with 49 pts → Finished 10th
2022-23: 12th with 43 pts → Finished 12th
2021-22: 13th with 45 pts → Finished 13th
2020-21: 13th with 43 pts → Finished 13th
2019-20: 6th with 53 pts → Finished 9th

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Blackburn 6 wins, 4 draws, Preston 4 wins

Recent Meetings:

2025-26: Blackburn 1-0 Preston (xG: 1.1-0.1)
2025-26: Preston 1-2 Blackburn (xG: 1.7-1.2)
2024-25: Blackburn 2-1 Preston (xG: 1.7-0.9)

West Brom vs Coventry - Historical Insights

West Brom at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 6th with 48 pts → Finished 9th
2023-24: 5th with 55 pts → Finished 5th
2022-23: 10th with 48 pts → Finished 9th
2021-22: 9th with 49 pts → Finished 10th
2019-20: 1st with 63 pts → Finished 2nd

Coventry at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 8th with 47 pts → Finished 5th
2023-24: 7th with 51 pts → Finished 9th
2022-23: 11th with 46 pts → Finished 5th
2021-22: 11th with 47 pts → Finished 12th
2020-21: 20th with 35 pts → Finished 16th

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): West Brom 5 wins, 1 draws, Coventry 4 wins

Recent Meetings:

2025-26: West Brom 0-2 Coventry (xG: 0.8-1.2)
2025-26: Coventry 3-2 West Brom (xG: 2.3-1.6)
2024-25: Coventry 2-0 West Brom (xG: 1.2-0.9)

Hull City vs QPR - Historical Insights

Hull City at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 21st with 30 pts → Finished 21st
2023-24: 6th with 54 pts → Finished 7th
2022-23: 15th with 42 pts → Finished 15th
2021-22: 22nd with 34 pts → Finished 20th
2019-20: 17th with 41 pts → Finished 24th

QPR at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 13th with 44 pts → Finished 15th
2023-24: 22nd with 32 pts → Finished 18th
2022-23: 18th with 39 pts → Finished 21st
2021-22: 5th with 53 pts → Finished 11th
2020-21: 14th with 43 pts → Finished 9th
2019-20: 16th with 42 pts → Finished 14th

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Hull City 4 wins, 1 draws, QPR 7 wins

Recent Meetings:

2025-26: Hull City 1-3 QPR (xG: 2.1-1.6)
2025-26: QPR 3-2 Hull City (xG: 3.0-1.1)
2024-25: Hull City 1-2 QPR (xG: 1.2-1.3)

Stoke City vs Leicester - Historical Insights

Stoke City at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 19th with 35 pts → Finished 18th
2023-24: 19th with 35 pts → Finished 17th
2022-23: 17th with 40 pts → Finished 16th
2021-22: 12th with 45 pts → Finished 14th
2020-21: 10th with 45 pts → Finished 14th
2019-20: 21st with 34 pts → Finished 16th

Leicester at Matchday 33:

2023-24: 1st with 78 pts → Finished 1st

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Stoke City 0 wins, 1 draws, Leicester 3 wins

Recent Meetings:

2025-26: Stoke City 2-2 Leicester (xG: 1.8-1.5)
2025-26: Leicester 2-1 Stoke City (xG: 1.5-1.4)
2023-24: Stoke City 0-5 Leicester (xG: 0.9-3.4)

Swansea vs Bristol City - Historical Insights

Swansea at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 17th with 37 pts → Finished 11th
2023-24: 18th with 36 pts → Finished 14th
2022-23: 14th with 42 pts → Finished 10th
2021-22: 17th with 41 pts → Finished 15th
2020-21: 3rd with 63 pts → Finished 4th
2019-20: 11th with 48 pts → Finished 6th

Bristol City at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 9th with 46 pts → Finished 6th
2023-24: 13th with 44 pts → Finished 11th
2022-23: 13th with 42 pts → Finished 14th
2021-22: 18th with 40 pts → Finished 18th
2020-21: 11th with 45 pts → Finished 19th
2019-20: 7th with 53 pts → Finished 12th

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Swansea 6 wins, 4 draws, Bristol City 4 wins

Recent Meetings:

2025-26: Swansea 1-0 Bristol City (xG: 0.6-0.7)
2025-26: Bristol City 3-0 Swansea (xG: 2.0-0.9)
2024-25: Bristol City 0-1 Swansea (xG: 1.0-1.8)

Watford vs Derby - Historical Insights

Watford at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 11th with 45 pts → Finished 14th
2023-24: 12th with 44 pts → Finished 15th
2022-23: 7th with 50 pts → Finished 11th
2020-21: 4th with 60 pts → Finished 2nd

Derby at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 22nd with 29 pts → Finished 19th
2021-22: 16th with 42 pts → Finished 17th
2020-21: 18th with 39 pts → Finished 22nd
2019-20: 13th with 44 pts → Finished 10th

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Watford 6 wins, 0 draws, Derby 0 wins

Recent Meetings:

2025-26: Watford 2-0 Derby (xG: 1.6-0.7)
2025-26: Derby 2-3 Watford (xG: 0.6-1.5)
2024-25: Derby 0-2 Watford (xG: 1.3-1.8)

Southampton vs Charlton - Historical Insights

Southampton at Matchday 33:

2023-24: 4th with 67 pts → Finished 4th

Charlton at Matchday 33:

2019-20: 19th with 36 pts → Finished 23rd

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Southampton 1 wins, 1 draws, Charlton 0 wins

Recent Meetings:

2025-26: Southampton 1-1 Charlton (xG: 1.1-0.9)
2025-26: Charlton 1-5 Southampton (xG: 0.7-4.6)

Millwall vs Portsmouth - Historical Insights

Millwall at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 14th with 42 pts → Finished 8th
2023-24: 21st with 33 pts → Finished 13th
2022-23: 5th with 51 pts → Finished 8th
2021-22: 15th with 44 pts → Finished 9th
2020-21: 12th with 43 pts → Finished 11th
2019-20: 10th with 49 pts → Finished 8th

Portsmouth at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 18th with 36 pts → Finished 16th

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Millwall 2 wins, 0 draws, Portsmouth 2 wins

Recent Meetings:

2025-26: Millwall 1-3 Portsmouth (xG: 0.4-1.4)
2025-26: Portsmouth 3-1 Millwall (xG: 1.6-0.4)
2024-25: Millwall 2-1 Portsmouth (xG: 1.3-0.6)

Middlesbrough vs Oxford United - Historical Insights

Middlesbrough at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 7th with 47 pts → Finished 10th
2023-24: 11th with 47 pts → Finished 8th
2022-23: 3rd with 57 pts → Finished 4th
2021-22: 10th with 49 pts → Finished 7th
2020-21: 9th with 47 pts → Finished 10th
2019-20: 18th with 37 pts → Finished 18th

Oxford United at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 16th with 38 pts → Finished 17th

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Middlesbrough 2 wins, 2 draws, Oxford United 0 wins

Recent Meetings:

2025-26: Middlesbrough 0-0 Oxford United (xG: 2.2-0.8)
2025-26: Oxford United 1-1 Middlesbrough (xG: 0.5-1.1)
2024-25: Middlesbrough 2-1 Oxford United (xG: 2.4-1.5)

Norwich vs Birmingham - Historical Insights

Norwich at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 12th with 44 pts → Finished 13th
2023-24: 8th with 51 pts → Finished 6th
2022-23: 9th with 49 pts → Finished 13th
2020-21: 1st with 70 pts → Finished 1st

Birmingham at Matchday 33:

2023-24: 16th with 38 pts → Finished 22nd
2022-23: 19th with 38 pts → Finished 17th
2021-22: 20th with 37 pts → Finished 21st
2020-21: 21st with 34 pts → Finished 18th
2019-20: 14th with 44 pts → Finished 21st

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Norwich 5 wins, 0 draws, Birmingham 3 wins

Recent Meetings:

2025-26: Norwich 1-2 Birmingham (xG: 1.4-1.3)
2025-26: Birmingham 4-1 Norwich (xG: 3.6-1.3)
2023-24: Birmingham 1-0 Norwich (xG: 1.2-0.1)

Wrexham vs Ipswich - Historical Insights

Ipswich at Matchday 33:

2023-24: 3rd with 69 pts → Finished 2nd

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Wrexham 1 wins, 1 draws, Ipswich 0 wins

Recent Meetings:

2025-26: Wrexham 5-3 Ipswich (xG: 2.1-0.8)
2025-26: Ipswich 0-0 Wrexham (xG: 1.7-0.0)

Sheffield Utd vs Sheffield Wednesday - Historical Insights

Sheffield Utd at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 2nd with 72 pts → Finished 3rd
2022-23: 2nd with 64 pts → Finished 2nd
2021-22: 3rd with 56 pts → Finished 5th

Sheffield Wednesday at Matchday 33:

2024-25: 10th with 45 pts → Finished 12th
2023-24: 23rd with 29 pts → Finished 20th
2020-21: 22nd with 34 pts → Finished 21st
2019-20: 12th with 44 pts → Finished 17th

Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Sheffield Utd 4 wins, 0 draws, Sheffield Wednesday 0 wins

Recent Meetings:

2025-26: Sheffield Utd 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday (xG: 2.0-0.2)
2025-26: Sheffield Wednesday 0-3 Sheffield Utd (xG: 0.3-2.3)
2024-25: Sheffield Wednesday 0-1 Sheffield Utd (xG: 1.3-1.1)

Current Championship Table

Championship Table

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	42	25	10	7	84	42	+42	85
2	Ipswich	41	21	12	8	71	42	+29	75
3	Millwall	42	21	10	11	56	47	+9	73
4	Southampton	42	20	12	10	73	50	+23	72
5	Middlesbrough	42	20	12	10	62	42	+20	72
6	Hull City	42	20	8	14	64	60	+4	68
7	Wrexham	42	17	13	12	63	60	+3	64
8	Derby	42	18	9	15	61	53	+8	63
9	Norwich	42	17	7	18	55	50	+5	58
10	Bristol City	42	16	10	16	52	51	+1	58
11	QPR	42	16	10	16	58	63	-5	58
12	Watford	42	14	15	13	52	51	+1	57
13	Preston	42	14	15	13	50	53	-3	57
14	Swansea	42	16	9	17	50	54	-4	57
15	Birmingham	42	15	11	16	51	52	-1	56
16	Stoke City	42	15	10	17	49	46	+3	55
17	Sheffield Utd	42	16	6	20	59	59	0	54
18	Charlton	42	12	13	17	39	51	-12	49
19	Portsmouth	42	12	12	18	43	57	-14	48
20	Blackburn	43	12	12	19	38	53	-15	48
21	West Brom	42	11	13	18	42	56	-14	46
22	Oxford United	42	10	14	18	41	54	-13	44
23	Leicester	42	11	14	17	54	64	-10	41
24	Sheffield Wednesday	42	1	11	30	25	82	-57	-4

← scroll →

Hull City Historical Comparison

Hull City at Matchday 33 – Through The Years

Historical Position Comparison

Hull City at Matchday 33

Season	Pos	Pts	GD	xGD	Form	Final
2025-26 (now)	6th	68	+4	-18.0	LWDDL	-
2024-25	21st	30	-12	-6.4	WLLDL	21st
2023-24	6th	54	+7	+6.8	WLWWW	7th
2022-23	15th	42	-9	+0.0	WWDLD	15th
2021-22	22nd	34	-10	+0.0	LLLDD	20th
2019-20	17th	41	-4	+0.0	LLDLD	24th

Data from 6 Championship seasons (2019-2025)

BTP Analysis & Verdicts

Key Storylines This Week

Derby Day Could Mean Doomsday for Wednesday: Sheffield Wednesday are teetering on the brink of relegation, and if Coventry win at The Hawthorns on Saturday, their fate could be sealed at Bramall Lane on Sunday — the first time in over 160 years of history that one Sheffield club has relegated the other at their own ground.
Coventry Back on Top: Mark Robins’ Sky Blues returned to the summit of the Championship with a stunning Monday-night dismantling of Middlesbrough, who had themselves been on a six-game winning run. The title race is very much alive, and how Coventry handle the pressure of being leaders while Middlesbrough reload at home to Oxford will define the coming weeks.
New Manager Bounces: Both Blackburn (Michael O’Neill, who started with a brilliant away win at QPR last weekend) and potentially Leicester (with Gary Rowett closing in on the manager’s role) are in their honeymoon phases. Leicester’s first game under a new boss — at home to Stoke — could see either a resurgence or further evidence that this squad is in deep trouble regardless of who’s in the dugout.

Match of the Week: Millwall vs Portsmouth

Millwall sit third in the Championship — two points above Ipswich with the Tractor Boys holding games in hand — and head into Saturday’s sold-out clash at The Den off the back of back-to-back away wins, including a hard-fought victory at Hillsborough. Portsmouth, managed by John Mussin who masterminded their promotion, park up in 19th place just four points above the drop zone and carrying a staggering 14 first-team injuries. They arrive, however, with momentum from a 3-1 midweek away win that briefly eased the pressure — setting up one of the most intriguing clashes of the weekend.

Millwall vs Portsmouth

Last 4 league meetings

Millwall2Wins

0Draws

Portsmouth2Wins

Total Goals: 5 - 7

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
21 Feb 2026 2025-26	Millwall	1 - 3	Portsmouth	0.4 - 1.4
22 Nov 2025 2025-26	Portsmouth	3 - 1	Millwall	1.6 - 0.4
05 Apr 2025 2024-25	Millwall	2 - 1	Portsmouth	1.3 - 0.6
28 Jan 2025 2024-25	Portsmouth	0 - 1	Millwall	1.2 - 1.4

Form Comparison - Last 6 Games

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Millwall	6	2	2	2	6	6	0	8	WLDWLD
2	Portsmouth	6	1	2	3	6	12	-6	5	LLLDDW

Millwall - Recent Results

W 1-0 vs Derby (H)

L 1-2 vs Blackburn (H)

D 1-1 vs Ipswich (A)

W 2-1 vs Middlesbrough (A)

L 1-2 vs Norwich (H)

D 0-0 vs West Brom (A)

Portsmouth - Recent Results

L 1-2 vs Swansea (H)

L 0-1 vs Derby (H)

L 1-6 vs QPR (A)

D 1-1 vs Norwich (A)

D 2-2 vs Oxford United (H)

W 1-0 vs Middlesbrough (A)

Millwall - 10-Match Rolling xG 2025/2026

Rolling 10-match average | Green above red = Creating more than conceding

Portsmouth - 10-Match Rolling xG 2025/2026

Rolling 10-match average | Green above red = Creating more than conceding

Millwall - Goals by Time Period 2025/2026

Best Scoring Period

76-90+ mins

Most Vulnerable Period

76-90+ mins

Portsmouth - Goals by Time Period 2025/2026

Best Scoring Period

76-90+ mins

Most Vulnerable Period

16-30 mins

Historical Position Comparison

Millwall - Saturday 21st February 2026

Season	Pos	Pts	GD	xGD	Form	Final
2025-26 (now)	3rd	73	+9	+0.6	LDWLD	-
2024-25	14th	42	-1	+3.1	WWLDD	8th
2023-24	21st	33	-15	-10.5	DLLLL	13th
2022-23	5th	51	+7	+0.0	WLWDD	8th
2021-22	15th	44	-1	+0.0	LWWDL	9th
2020-21	12th	43	+2	+0.0	WWDDL	11th
2019-20	10th	49	+2	+0.0	LDLDW	8th

Historical Position Comparison

Portsmouth - Saturday 21st February 2026

Season	Pos	Pts	GD	xGD	Form	Final
2025-26 (now)	22nd	45	-16	-1.0	LLDDW	-
2024-25	18th	36	-14	-11.4	LDLWW	16th

Player to Watch: Josh Coburn

👀 Player to Watch: Josh Coburn (Millwall)

Josh Coburn has been Millwall’s focal point as the lone striker this season and is the man Alex Neil is building his attack around. With Tommy Watson providing pace and creativity from the left and Femir Z supplying width on the right, Coburn’s physicality and ability to hold the ball up makes Millwall tick in the final third — and against a Portsmouth defence depleted by injuries, his direct running and aerial presence could be decisive.

Josh Coburn

Millwall • M • 2025-2026 Season

23 apps8 goals0 assists6.75 avg rating

BTP Verdict

The Den is a difficult place to visit at the best of times, and Portsmouth arriving with 14 absentees and midweek miles in the legs makes this a very tough assignment. Millwall may not have been at their fluid best recently, but they know how to grind out results at home, and that experience and physicality should tell. Portsmouth’s gutsy away win midweek may have drained the tank just when they need it most.

Prediction

Millwall 2-1 Portsmouth

One to Watch

Josh Coburn

Key Battle

Coburn vs Injury-Hit Pompey Backline

Hull City Focus: Hull City vs QPR

The Opposition: QPR arrive at the MKM Stadium in poor form and with a heavily depleted squad through injury. They were beaten at home last weekend by a Blackburn side that had something to prove under new manager Michael O’Neill, and with little to play for and little in the tank, Martin Irons’ men look every inch like a side that has run out of ideas in the second half of the season.

Key Battle: Hull’s centre-backs will need to be solid rather than spectacular here — QPR’s threat is limited going forward, so the key will be whether Hull’s attacking play can find the breakthrough on a ground where they need to be winning to keep their playoff push intact.

What We Think: Hull have gone three games without a win — including a 4-0 FA Cup mauling by Chelsea and a 3-2 home defeat to Bristol City — and will be desperate to get back on track in front of their own fans. QPR look like a side going through the motions, and despite Hull’s data suggesting their xG profile has run slightly warm this season, the simple fact remains they are the better team by a comfortable margin. Expect a home win, even if it’s not vintage stuff.

Hull City vs QPR

Last 5 league meetings

Hull City2Wins

0Draws

QPR3Wins

Total Goals: 10 - 9

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
21 Feb 2026 2025-26	Hull City	1 - 3	QPR	2.1 - 1.6
22 Nov 2025 2025-26	QPR	3 - 2	Hull City	3.0 - 1.1
21 Jan 2025 2024-25	Hull City	1 - 2	QPR	1.2 - 1.3
01 Oct 2024 2024-25	QPR	1 - 3	Hull City	2.6 - 1.9
13 Apr 2024 2023-24	Hull City	3 - 0	QPR	1.1 - 1.3

Form Comparison - Last 6 Games

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	QPR	6	3	2	1	12	5	+7	11	LWWWDD
2	Hull City	6	2	2	2	7	8	-1	8	WLWDDL

Hull City - Recent Results

W 2-1 vs Wrexham (A)

L 0-3 vs West Brom (A)

W 3-1 vs Sheffield Wednesday (H)

D 1-1 vs Oxford United (A)

D 0-0 vs Coventry (H)

L 1-2 vs Sheffield Utd (A)

QPR - Recent Results

L 0-1 vs Birmingham (A)

W 3-1 vs Leicester (A)

W 6-1 vs Portsmouth (H)

W 2-1 vs Watford (H)

D 1-1 vs Preston (A)

D 0-0 vs Bristol City (H)

Hull City - 10-Match Rolling xG 2025/2026

Rolling 10-match average | Green above red = Creating more than conceding

QPR - 10-Match Rolling xG 2025/2026

Rolling 10-match average | Green above red = Creating more than conceding

Hull City - Goals by Time Period 2025/2026

Best Scoring Period

31-45 mins

Most Vulnerable Period

76-90+ mins

QPR - Goals by Time Period 2025/2026

Best Scoring Period

76-90+ mins

Most Vulnerable Period

46-60 mins

Historical Position Comparison

Hull City - Saturday 21st February 2026

Season	Pos	Pts	GD	xGD	Form	Final
2025-26 (now)	6th	68	+4	-18.0	LWDDL	-
2024-25	21st	30	-12	-6.4	WLLDL	21st
2023-24	6th	54	+7	+6.8	WLWWW	7th
2022-23	15th	42	-9	+0.0	WWDLD	15th
2021-22	22nd	34	-10	+0.0	LLLDD	20th
2019-20	17th	41	-4	+0.0	LLDLD	24th

Historical Position Comparison

QPR - Saturday 21st February 2026

Season	Pos	Pts	GD	xGD	Form	Final
2025-26 (now)	11th	58	-5	+0.2	WWWDD	-
2024-25	13th	44	-2	-4.7	LLWLW	15th
2023-24	22nd	32	-14	-9.8	DWDLW	18th
2022-23	18th	39	-12	+0.0	LDLLL	21st
2021-22	5th	53	+9	+0.0	DLLDL	11th
2020-21	14th	43	-6	+0.0	WDLWL	9th
2019-20	16th	42	-7	+0.0	LLLDW	14th

Player to Watch: Ryan Giles

👀 Player to Watch: Ryan Giles (Hull City)

Ryan Giles has been one of the Championship’s standout left-backs this season, racking up 8 assists in 23 league appearances before a hamstring injury picked up at Middlesbrough on December 29th halted his momentum. He’s back fit and almost certain to start against QPR — and his timing couldn’t be better, with backup Matty Jacob now facing up to eight weeks out with an MCL injury, leaving Giles as Hull’s only natural option on that flank. With an xAG (expected assisted goals) of 5.3 this season, he’s one of the most creative wide players in the division — far outperforming most defenders in that metric — and a QPR side struggling for form and numbers defensively is exactly the kind of opponent he can run riot against.

Ryan Giles

Hull City • M • 2025-2026 Season

28 apps0 goals8 assists6.78 avg rating

BTP Verdict

Three games without a win is a blip, not a crisis — but Hull need to show they can handle the pressure of a playoff race. QPR’s injury problems and indifferent form make this the ideal opportunity to restore confidence and put some daylight between themselves and the teams nipping at their heels. Home advantage, quality in the squad, and a point to prove. Hull to win.

Prediction

Hull City 2-1 QPR

One to Watch

Ryan Giles

Key Battle

Hull Creativity vs QPR’s Depleted Defence

BTP Predictions Summary

Blackburn Rovers vs Preston North End	1-0
Hull City vs Queens Park Rangers	2-1
Stoke City vs Leicester City	1-1
Swansea City vs Bristol City	1-1
West Bromwich Albion vs Coventry City	0-2
Middlesbrough vs Oxford United	4-0
Millwall vs Portsmouth ⭐	2-1
Norwich City vs Birmingham City	2-1
Southampton vs Charlton Athletic	2-0
Watford vs Derby County	2-1
Wrexham vs Ipswich Town	1-2
Sheffield United vs Sheffield Wednesday	3-0

Final Thoughts

Gameweek 33 could be genuinely season-defining at both ends of the table. At the top, Coventry’s ability to back up their Middlesbrough performance against a West Brom side with nothing to offer will tell us a lot about their title credentials; at the bottom, the steel city derby on Sunday carries a relegation verdict that would be one for the ages. For Hull fans, this is a weekend to focus on our own business — three winless games need to end here, and QPR’s weakened side offers the perfect opportunity.

Best case for Hull City: Hull put in a dominant home display, win comfortably, and results elsewhere mean they climb back into the top four ahead of a crucial run of fixtures.

Worst case: Hull’s recent wobble continues, QPR nick something against the run of play, and Hull find themselves looking over their shoulder rather than up at the automatic spots.

Check back after the weekend for our full Gameweek 33 review with xG analysis!

Tags: BeyondThePrem Championship Gameweek 33 Championship Playoff Race Championship Predictions Championship Preview Championship stats Championship Table 2025-26 Coventry City EFL Championship Football Predictions Hull City vs QPR Millwall vs Portsmouth Ryan Giles Sheffield Derby xG analysis

Championship Gameweek 33 Preview

Matchday 33 - Historical Insights

Blackburn vs Preston - Historical Insights

West Brom vs Coventry - Historical Insights

Hull City vs QPR - Historical Insights

Stoke City vs Leicester - Historical Insights

Swansea vs Bristol City - Historical Insights

Watford vs Derby - Historical Insights

Southampton vs Charlton - Historical Insights

Millwall vs Portsmouth - Historical Insights

Middlesbrough vs Oxford United - Historical Insights

Norwich vs Birmingham - Historical Insights

Wrexham vs Ipswich - Historical Insights

Sheffield Utd vs Sheffield Wednesday - Historical Insights

Kieron

League One Gameweek 34 Preview

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