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Championship Gameweek 30 Review: Coventry slip up again Hull continue run to promotion

underthegreysky1971 by underthegreysky1971
01/02/2026
in Championship
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Week 30 Championship Review

Week 30 Championship Review

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Championship Gameweek 30 Review: Coventry slip up again Hull continue run to promotion.

Gameweek 30 Summary:
Competition: Sky Bet Championship
Dates: [DATE RANGE – e.g., Friday 31st January – Saturday 1st February]
Total Goals: 26 goals from 12 matches
Hull City Result: 0-1 vs Blackburn Rovers (AWAY).

Gameweek 30 of the Sky Bet Championship is in the books. Coventry faltering at the top and Ipswich dropping points as Hull and Middlesbrough continue promotion push.West Brom annihilated at Fratton park and in trouble .

Gameweek 30 Results Overview

All Results – Goals vs xG Analysis

Championship - Matchday 30 Review

Season 2025-26 | Post-Match Analysis

26Goals
2.2Per Game
3Home Wins
2Draws
7Away Wins
Bristol City
0-5
Derby
Expected Goals (xG)
0.23
2.00
Derby overperformed (+3.0)
Friday, 30 January 2026
Leicester
0-2
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
1.40
Leicester underperformed (-1.9)Charlton overperformed (+0.6)
Saturday, 31 January 2026
Sheffield Wednesday
0-1
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.39
1.44
Result aligned with xG
Saturday, 31 January 2026
Stoke City
0-2
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
1.59
Stoke City underperformed (-0.9)
Saturday, 31 January 2026
Watford
0-2
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
2.70
Watford underperformed (-0.9)Swansea underperformed (-0.7)
Saturday, 31 January 2026
Ipswich
1-1
Preston
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
1.06
Ipswich underperformed (-0.9)
Saturday, 31 January 2026
Millwall
1-1
Sheffield Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
1.22
Result aligned with xG
Saturday, 31 January 2026
Blackburn
0-1
Hull City
Expected Goals (xG)
0.50
1.47
Result aligned with xG
Saturday, 31 January 2026
Middlesbrough
1-0
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43
0.58
Middlesbrough overperformed (+0.6)Norwich underperformed (-0.6)
Saturday, 31 January 2026
QPR
2-1
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
0.59
QPR overperformed (+0.9)
Saturday, 31 January 2026
Oxford United
0-2
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.46
0.90
Birmingham overperformed (+1.1)
Saturday, 31 January 2026
Portsmouth
3-0
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
0.14
Portsmouth overperformed (+0.7)
Saturday, 31 January 2026

Goals vs Expected Goals


Updated Championship Table

Championship Table After Gameweek 30

Championship Table

PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Coventry42251078442+4285
2Ipswich41211287142+2975
3Millwall422110115647+973
4Southampton422012107350+2372
5Middlesbrough422012106242+2072
6Hull City42208146460+468
7Wrexham421713126360+364
8Derby42189156153+863
9Norwich42177185550+558
10Bristol City421610165251+158
11QPR421610165863-558
12Watford421415135251+157
13Preston421415135053-357
14Swansea42169175054-457
15Birmingham421511165152-156
16Stoke City421510174946+355
17Sheffield Utd42166205959054
18Charlton421213173951-1249
19Portsmouth421212184357-1448
20Blackburn431212193853-1548
21West Brom421113184256-1446
22Oxford United421014184154-1344
23Leicester421114175464-1041
24Sheffield Wednesday42111302582-57-4

← scroll →




BTP Analysis & Talking Points

Key Talking Points

  • Title Race Blown Wide Open: The biggest story of gameweek 30 is the complete reshaping of the Championship title race. Coventry’s ten-point cushion at the top has been entirely wiped out after their seventh winless away game in a row, leaving them level on points with Middlesbrough and separated only by goal difference. With Hull now just five points back in third and in the best form in the league, Frank Lampard’s admission that “it’s a race from now” feels like a significant understatement — the title is genuinely up for grabs.
  • Koumas Makes Immediate Impact: Lewis Koumas announced himself to Championship football in the best possible way, scoring on his debut to hand Hull City a 1-0 win at Ewood Park and extend their winning run to four games. It was a composed, clinical finish that belied the pressure of a first appearance, and his rating of 8.36 was comfortably the highest on the pitch. If Jakirovic can keep him firing, Hull’s push for promotion just got a lot more credible.
  • Blackburn’s Slide Continues: While the title race grabs the headlines, Blackburn Rovers find themselves firmly rooted to the bottom of the Championship after eight matches without a win. Valerien Ismael’s frustration was clear after the Hull defeat, pinpointing the failure to convert chances as the core problem. With Sheffield Wednesday visiting Ewood Park next, the pressure on Ismael and his squad is only going to intensify as the season hurtles towards its conclusion.

Match of the Week: QPR 2-1 Coventry

QPR
2-1
Coventry
Expected Goals1.14vs0.59
QPR+0.9
Coventry+0.4

This was the standout game of the week for one reason above all: it completely reshuffled the Championship title race. Coventry’s ten-point cushion at the top was wiped out in a single afternoon, leaving them level on points with Middlesbrough and only ahead on goal difference. With Hull City sitting five points back in third, the race is now wide open, and this result will have sent shockwaves through every club still in contention.

⭐ Man of the Match: Nicolas Madsen (QPR)

Nicolas Madsen earned the man of the match accolade with a decisive and composed winner, smashing home from ten yards after Rushworth could only parry Vale’s low cross. But his influence stretched beyond that goal — he was also the creative force behind the equaliser, delivering the low cross that Kone converted to make it 1-1. QPR’s head coach Stéphan singled him out for the energy and character he showed after that equaliser, and it was that drive and intent that carried Rangers to a result that could have significant implications further up the table.

Hull City Review

Blackburn
0-1
Hull City
Expected Goals0.50vs1.47
Blackburn-0.5
Hull City-0.5

The Performance: It wasn’t pretty, but it was effective — and right now, four straight wins is all that matters. Hull were not good on the ball for large spells, with the game drifting into a scrappy, stop-start affair for much of the first half. But defensively, the Tigers were outstanding, particularly in nullifying Blackburn’s threat from crosses, something Jakirovic flagged as a key game plan given the Rovers lead the league in crosses inside the box. The real credit goes to the substitutes, with Koumas and Joseph injecting the energy and quality that finally broke the deadlock.

Key Moments: The game was defined by a single moment — Lewis Koumas sliding home on 81 minutes on his debut to make it 1-0. It was a goal that summed up Hull’s clinical efficiency: Hadziahmetovic picked out Joseph with a through ball, who squared it for Koumas to finish from close range. Jakirovic’s decision to bring on both Koumas and Joseph at the 76th minute proved to be the decisive intervention. Joseph then nearly doubled the lead in the 89th minute, only to be denied by a smart Toth save, but by that point the damage was already done.

xG Verdict: On the balance of chances, this felt like a fair result rather than a generous one for Hull. Blackburn had more possession and the better spell after half-time, with Jorgensen’s header over the bar being their clearest opportunity. But Hull defended well and, crucially, took their chance when it finally came. In a game where neither side created much, a 1-0 scoreline reflects the reality on the pitch — Hull were simply more clinical when it counted, and that ruthlessness is exactly what keeps them in touch with the top two.

🌟 Standout Performer: Lewis Koumas (Hull City)

Lewis Koumas was the clear standout. Coming off the bench on his debut, he scored the only goal of the game and then nearly added an assist minutes later, showing he’s adapted to the Championship quickly. What made his performance so impressive wasn’t just the goal itself — which was well finished from close range — but the composure and awareness he showed in the box for someone making his first appearance for the club. His rating of 8.36 was the highest on the pitch by a considerable margin, and Jakirovic will be hoping he can make the same kind of instant impact on a more regular basis as Hull push for promotion.

xG Deep Dive

Goals vs Expected Goals Chart

Please specify a team.

xG Overperformers

Bristol City , QPR and Portsmouth outperformed their expected goals .

xG Underperformers

Norwich,Ipswich Swansea and Stoke all under-performed on xG

Shock Result of the Week

🔥 Upset of the Week: QPR vs Coventry (2-1)

It has to be this game again with QPR coming from behind to beat leaders Coventry and avenge a 7-1 away defeat in August.

Team Performance Ratings

Matchday 30 Performance Ratings

Based on xG performance analysis

Derby0-5 (A)xG: 2.00 (+3.0)
9.5
Charlton0-2 (A)xG: 1.40 (+0.6)
8.9
Birmingham0-2 (A)xG: 0.90 (+1.1)
8.6
Southampton0-2 (A)xG: 1.59 (+0.4)
8.4
Portsmouth3-0xG: 2.29 (+0.7)
8.3
Middlesbrough1-0xG: 0.43 (+0.6)
8.0
Swansea0-2 (A)xG: 2.70 (-0.7)
7.8
Wrexham0-1 (A)xG: 1.44 (-0.4)
7.6
Hull City0-1 (A)xG: 1.47 (-0.5)
7.6
QPR2-1xG: 1.14 (+0.9)
7.6

Final Thoughts

Gameweek 30 Verdict

Great weekend for Derby , Hull and QPR not so much for Coventry and Ipswich

Winners:
Hull, Middlesbrough , Derby .
Losers:
Coventry , Ipswich, Oxford Unt.

Looking Ahead: Big game next week for Coventry City at Home to oxford , can they stop the rot?

For Hull City: Hull City play game in hand after controversial postponement against Watford at home , crucial in the promotion battle

Check out our Gameweek 31 preview for full stats and predictions!


Tags: championshipChampionship Predictionsexpected goalsHullHull cityMiddlesbroughxG analysis
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Championship Timing & Patterns: Who Fights Back, Who Falls Apart?

Championship Timing & Patterns: Who Fights Back, Who Falls Apart?

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