Table versus xG: Bolton host Bradford with the underlying numbers in disagreement
Bradford finished higher but Bolton's xG +8.99 says they are the better side. Both models favour Bolton at home for ...
Tag: Single-Match Feature
Numbers versus history: Stevenage host Stockport in the League One play-off opener
The calibrated LR makes Stockport favourites for both legs; Stevenage have won both league meetings this season. The first leg ...
Beyond The Prem
Data-first football writing
This site is a hobby project run by a former healthcare professional and computing graduate who likes football and data. There's no monetisation agenda, no ads, and no ambition to become the next big football media brand.
What there is: ML-backed match previews, honest accountability when the model gets it wrong, and analysis covering the Championship, League One and WSL that tries to be genuinely data-driven rather than just opinion dressed up in numbers.
Hull City season ticket holder and Leyton Orient follower — both covered on the site, no bias applied.
Posts go up most days during the season. The model's predictions are published before kick-off and the results tracked openly — good weeks and bad ones.
No agenda. No spin. Just the numbers.