Championship · Matchday 11 · Turf Moor
Burnley v Wolves
Two sides relegated from the Premier League last season meet on a Friday night to open Matchday 11. Burnley have eight points from ten — one win, five draws, four defeats — and are unbeaten in three, a run that includes a 4-0 win at Watford. They have yet to win at Turf Moor this season, where four of their five home games have finished level; they are one of three clubs in the division still without a home win. Wolves have fourteen points from nine, a game fewer than almost everyone, but arrive having lost both since the international break — 1-0 at Middlesbrough, then 3-1 at home to Bolton. The underlying numbers separate them further than the table does: Wolves have created 1.72 expected goals a game and conceded 1.04, where Burnley have created 1.18 and conceded 1.55.
Before kick-off: how the two teams stand
Burnley 1W 5D 4L · 8 points
| DH v West Ham | 2-2 |
| LA v West Brom | 1-3 |
| LA v Norwich | 1-4 |
| DH v Middlesbrough | 1-1 |
| LH v Bristol City | 1-2 |
| DA v Wrexham | 1-1 |
| LA v Swansea | 1-3 |
| DH v Derby | 1-1 |
| WA v Watford | 4-0 |
| DH v Charlton | 2-2 |
Wolves 4W 2D 3L · 14 points
| DH v Blackburn | 2-2 |
| WA v Preston | 3-1 |
| WH v Stoke City | 4-1 |
| LA v West Ham | 2-4 |
| DA v Birmingham | 2-2 |
| WA v Sheffield Utd | 1-0 |
| WH v West Brom | 1-0 |
| LA v Middlesbrough | 0-1 |
| LH v Bolton | 1-3 |
League matches completed before this fixture. Figures are correct as at kick-off and are not updated during the match.
Wolves come without both senior strikers. Raul Jimenez requires surgery on a knee injury and Adam Armstrong has been ruled out with a back problem, which leaves the teenage Newcastle United loanee Sean Neave — eighteen minutes across four substitute appearances so far this season — as the forward in possession. Rodrigo Gomes, Bertrand Traore, Boubacar Traore and Yerson Mosquera are also unavailable. Asked whether the injuries had opened the door for Neave, head coach César Peixoto said:
“Raul is injured, Adam has a problem in his back, so it’s the moment for Sean.”
Peixoto was careful not to load too much on him, adding that Neave “is not ready to play a lot of minutes, I have to be clear about that”. On the hosts, he said:
“Burnley didn’t start well, but I think in the long term, they will go higher in the Championship, because they have quality.”
The two met twice in the Premier League last season, Wolves losing 3-2 at home in October before a 1-1 draw at Turf Moor in May.
Live commentary
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ARCHIVE Match commentary archive · 55 updates
SCORE1·272'
90+5'fulltimeFull-time, 1-2
90+3'commentMan of the match goes to Fer Lopez
90+1'commentThe free kick is parried behind by Coudert for a Wolves corner
90+1'comment4 added on
90'card🟨 Yellow card for Walker for a foul on Mane
87'sub🔄 U. Raghouber replaces Max Alleyne
88'commentCorner — Wolves, Cross isn't dealt with by Burnley and it falls to Doyle whose shot is deflected behind
87'sub🔄 L. Krejčí and Hugo Bueno replace R. Saïd and G. Konan
81'commentOffside — Burnley, Ramazani is released on the left but he was slightly offside, he played it across to Broja who somehow hit the bar from very close range. Difficult angle to be fair to him
77'commentShot — Wolves, Said won it back in his own half and ran past Edwards and Kyle Walker like they weren't there. Said continued to drive inside and played a brilliant low cross with the outside of his boot to find Doyle, who volleys wide from close range
75'sub🔄 R. Hatate replaced by M. Edwards
72'goalIts another defensive error. Igor Julio with a poor first touch playing out the back which is pounced on by Mane. He plays it through for Chirewa whose shot is palmed by Coudert but he doesn't get enough strength on the save and the ball goes off the bar and in! 1-2
72'score1-2
72'goal⚽ Chirewa scores seconds after coming on! Unbelievable! 1-2
71'sub🔄 Fer López and S. Neave make way for T. Doyle and T. Chirewa
70'card🟨 Yellow card for Sean Neave for a foul on Satpaev
68'commentCorner — Burnley, Pires' shot is deflected behindedited
63'card🟨 Yellow card for Hatate for a foul on Lopez
61'sub🔄 J. Vardy and J. Bruun Larsen replaced by Broja and Satpaev
61'sub🔄 J. Bellegarde replaced by M. Mane
60'commentCorner — Burnley, Drops to Said on the edge of the box who shoots, Coudert parries away before he is forced into action again by tipping over another Wolves cross
59'commentCorner — Burnley, Corner taken from Bellegarde almost drops straight in, Coudert tips behind
59'commentCorner — Wolves, Good play from Tchatchoua down the right results in a cross that forces Walker to steer behind
52'commentCorner — Wolves, Free kick shot by Lopez which forces Coudert to parry it behind
51'commentFree kick — Wolves, Won by Said after a foul by Ramazani, promising position
50'commentShot — Burnley, Good play from Burnley results in a shot from Bruun Larsen, but his shot is wayward
HTkickoffKick-off for the second half
45+3'halftimeHalf-time, 1-1
45+1'comment2 added
39'goalKyle Walker gives it away at the back to Rafiki Said. It falls to Neave who drives inside the box and delivers a low cross into the path of Lopez who finishes into the near bottom corner via the post, somehow its 1-1!
39'goal⚽ Out of nothing, Fer Lopez equalises!
39'score1-1
39'commentWolves slowly starting to get back into it with possession in decent areas, although no chances to show for it
34'commentBurnley have had several good chances this half and will regret not being more than one goal to the good so far .
34'commentShot — Burnley, Bruun Larsen picks up the ball in space on the edge of the box but fires straight at Sa
31'commentFree kick — Burnley, on the right edge of the box
20'goalBurnley score and it has been coming, too many gaps for Wolves as Pires plays the ball forward into Bruun Larsen who then nicely slides it through for Vardy, who slots it past Sa
20'goal⚽ Jamie Vardy scores his first goal for Burnley! 1-0
19'score1-0
17'commentCorner — Burnley, won by Lucas Pires
10'commentShot — Burnley, Mistake by Toti at the back for Wolves allows Ramazani to break forward with Vardy in a 2 on 1. He drives forward into the box and aims a cutback towards Bruun Larsen, he dummies it nicely to let it run through to Vardy who controls and shoots. He forces Sa to make a good low save
7'commentShot — Burnley, Nice play from Bruun Larsen on the left who drives inside and lays it back to Igor who shoots from distance but it just about doesn't dip enough, very close to nestling into the top corner
4'commentCorner — Burnley, Walker with a great long ball which releases Ramazani down the right, his low cross is aimed for Vardy but its a crucial intervention by Djiga to turn it behind
20:01kickoffKick-off at Turf Moor
19:57commentThis season in the Championship, Burnley have conceded seven set pieces goals (incl. penalties) – the joint-most of any side in the competition. It’s also already one more than they conceded throughout their entire last Championship campaign in 2024-25.
19:57commentWolves have lost each of their last two league games, and will be looking to avoid losing three in succession in the Championship for the first time since a five-match streak between February and March 2017.
19:56commentBurnley have now failed to win any of their last 20 home league games since a 2-0 win over Leeds in October last year (D10 L10); it’s the current longest streak across England’s top four tiers, though the Clarets have lost just two of their last 64 matches at Turf Moor in the Championship specifically.
19:56commentWolves are without a win in eight league visits to Burnley (D4 L4) since a 2-1 Premier League win in 2009-10.
19:56commentBurnley have lost just one of their last 11 league games against Wolves (W5 D5), going down 1-0 in December 2023.
19:55commentWOLVES TEAM NEWS: 6 changes from 3-1 loss to Bolton. Adam Armstrong is out injured and is replaced by 19 year old Newcastle loanee Sean Neave who makes it first start for Wolves. M. Mane, J. James, L. Krejčí, K. Trippier and Hugo Bueno also all drop to the bench and are replaced by Rafiki Said, M. Munetsi, Toti Gomes, G. Konan and J. Tchatchoua. Konan and Said both make their first starts for the club after signing in the summer. Along with Armstrong, Jimenez is out until 2027, Bertrand Traore, Boubacar Traore and Rodrigo Gomes also remain out
19:50commentBURNLEY TEAM NEWS: Ekdal replaces Ahmedhodzic which is the only change from the 2-2 draw against Charlton. Ahmedhodzic is out with injury picked up against Charlton. Zeki Amdouni is also a new addition to Burnley's growing injury list. Notable names still out include Ashley Barnes, Mike Tresor, Bashir Humphreys, Josh Cullen, Hannibal, Aaron Ramsey and Banel
19:46commentWolves Bench: K. Trippier, Hugo Bueno, Jordan James, João Virgínia, Y. Mosquera, T. Doyle, T. Chirewa, M. Mane, L. Krejčí
19:45commentBurnley Bench: Max Weiß, Ugo Raghouber, Marcus Edwards, Satpaev, Connor Roberts. Andreas Hountondji, Oliver Sonne, Armando Broja, L. Castell
19:43commentLineups
19:27score0-0
What the models say
Two models run on this fixture and tonight they point different ways. The outcome model makes it 39.8% Wolves, 37.6% Burnley and 22.6% a draw — a gap of 2.3 points between the two sides, the narrowest it has produced on any of the twelve fixtures this matchday. The goals model expects about 1.45 goals for Burnley and 1.06 for Wolves, and summed across every scoreline that reverses the call: 46.2% Burnley, 26.0% the draw, 27.9% Wolves. Rather than print whichever reads better, the split is the finding — one model leans narrowly to the visitors, the other more firmly to the hosts.
What they do agree on is how little room there is in it. The goals model puts it at 67.1% to finish within one goal, with 54.3% for under 2.5 goals and both sides scoring almost exactly a coin toss at 49.7%. The three likeliest scores are 1-1 (12.3%), 1-0 (12.0%) and 2-1 (9.0%) — a flat spread rather than a confident call. Neither model knows that Wolves are without their two senior forwards.
Match Prediction
The table before kick-off
Match commentary timeline
Auto-generated from live commentary. 55 entries between kickoff and full-time.
4′ comment Corner — Burnley, Walker with a great long ball which releases Ramazani down the right, his low cross is aimed for Vardy but its a crucial intervention by Djiga to turn it behind
7′ comment Shot — Burnley, Nice play from Bruun Larsen on the left who drives inside and lays it back to Igor who shoots from distance but it just about doesn’t dip enough, very close to nestling into the top corner
10′ comment Shot — Burnley, Mistake by Toti at the back for Wolves allows Ramazani to break forward with Vardy in a 2 on 1. He drives forward into the box and aims a cutback towards Bruun Larsen, he dummies it nicely to let it run through to Vardy who controls and shoots. He forces Sa to make a good low save
17′ comment Corner — Burnley, won by Lucas Pires
19′ score 1-0
20′ goal ⚽ Jamie Vardy scores his first goal for Burnley! 1-0
20′ goal Burnley score and it has been coming, too many gaps for Wolves as Pires plays the ball forward into Bruun Larsen who then nicely slides it through for Vardy, who slots it past Sa
31′ comment Free kick — Burnley, on the right edge of the box
34′ comment Shot — Burnley, Bruun Larsen picks up the ball in space on the edge of the box but fires straight at Sa
34′ comment Burnley have had several good chances this half and will regret not being more than one goal to the good so far .
39′ comment Wolves slowly starting to get back into it with possession in decent areas, although no chances to show for it
39′ score 1-1
39′ goal ⚽ Out of nothing, Fer Lopez equalises!
39′ goal Kyle Walker gives it away at the back to Rafiki Said. It falls to Neave who drives inside the box and delivers a low cross into the path of Lopez who finishes into the near bottom corner via the post, somehow its 1-1!
HT kickoff Kick-off for the second half
45+1′ comment 2 added
45+3′ halftime Half-time, 1-1
50′ comment Shot — Burnley, Good play from Burnley results in a shot from Bruun Larsen, but his shot is wayward
51′ comment Free kick — Wolves, Won by Said after a foul by Ramazani, promising position
52′ comment Corner — Wolves, Free kick shot by Lopez which forces Coudert to parry it behind
59′ comment Corner — Wolves, Good play from Tchatchoua down the right results in a cross that forces Walker to steer behind
59′ comment Corner — Burnley, Corner taken from Bellegarde almost drops straight in, Coudert tips behind
60′ comment Corner — Burnley, Drops to Said on the edge of the box who shoots, Coudert parries away before he is forced into action again by tipping over another Wolves cross
61′ sub 🔄 J. Bellegarde replaced by M. Mane
61′ sub 🔄 J. Vardy and J. Bruun Larsen replaced by Broja and Satpaev
63′ card 🟨 Yellow card for Hatate for a foul on Lopez
68′ comment Corner — Burnley, Pires’ shot is deflected behind
70′ card 🟨 Yellow card for Sean Neave for a foul on Satpaev
71′ sub 🔄 Fer López and S. Neave make way for T. Doyle and T. Chirewa
72′ goal ⚽ Chirewa scores seconds after coming on! Unbelievable! 1-2
72′ score 1-2
72′ goal Its another defensive error. Igor Julio with a poor first touch playing out the back which is pounced on by Mane. He plays it through for Chirewa whose shot is palmed by Coudert but he doesn’t get enough strength on the save and the ball goes off the bar and in! 1-2
75′ sub 🔄 R. Hatate replaced by M. Edwards
77′ comment Shot — Wolves, Said won it back in his own half and ran past Edwards and Kyle Walker like they weren’t there. Said continued to drive inside and played a brilliant low cross with the outside of his boot to find Doyle, who volleys wide from close range
81′ comment Offside — Burnley, Ramazani is released on the left but he was slightly offside, he played it across to Broja who somehow hit the bar from very close range. Difficult angle to be fair to him
87′ sub 🔄 L. Krejčí and Hugo Bueno replace R. Saïd and G. Konan
87′ sub 🔄 U. Raghouber replaces Max Alleyne
88′ comment Corner — Wolves, Cross isn’t dealt with by Burnley and it falls to Doyle whose shot is deflected behind
90′ card 🟨 Yellow card for Walker for a foul on Mane
90+1′ comment 4 added on
90+1′ comment The free kick is parried behind by Coudert for a Wolves corner
90+3′ comment Man of the match goes to Fer Lopez
90+5′ fulltime Full-time, 1-2
score 0-0
comment Lineups
comment Burnley Bench: Max Weiß, Ugo Raghouber, Marcus Edwards, Satpaev, Connor Roberts. Andreas Hountondji, Oliver Sonne, Armando Broja, L. Castell
comment Wolves Bench: K. Trippier, Hugo Bueno, Jordan James, João Virgínia, Y. Mosquera, T. Doyle, T. Chirewa, M. Mane, L. Krejčí
comment BURNLEY TEAM NEWS: Ekdal replaces Ahmedhodzic which is the only change from the 2-2 draw against Charlton. Ahmedhodzic is out with injury picked up against Charlton. Zeki Amdouni is also a new addition to Burnley’s growing injury list. Notable names still out include Ashley Barnes, Mike Tresor, Bashir Humphreys, Josh Cullen, Hannibal, Aaron Ramsey and Banel
comment WOLVES TEAM NEWS: 6 changes from 3-1 loss to Bolton. Adam Armstrong is out injured and is replaced by 19 year old Newcastle loanee Sean Neave who makes it first start for Wolves. M. Mane, J. James, L. Krejčí, K. Trippier and Hugo Bueno also all drop to the bench and are replaced by Rafiki Said, M. Munetsi, Toti Gomes, G. Konan and J. Tchatchoua. Konan and Said both make their first starts for the club after signing in the summer. Along with Armstrong, Jimenez is out until 2027, Bertrand Traore, Boubacar Traore and Rodrigo Gomes also remain out
comment Burnley have lost just one of their last 11 league games against Wolves (W5 D5), going down 1-0 in December 2023.
comment Wolves are without a win in eight league visits to Burnley (D4 L4) since a 2-1 Premier League win in 2009-10.
comment Burnley have now failed to win any of their last 20 home league games since a 2-0 win over Leeds in October last year (D10 L10); it’s the current longest streak across England’s top four tiers, though the Clarets have lost just two of their last 64 matches at Turf Moor in the Championship specifically.
comment Wolves have lost each of their last two league games, and will be looking to avoid losing three in succession in the Championship for the first time since a five-match streak between February and March 2017.
comment This season in the Championship, Burnley have conceded seven set pieces goals (incl. penalties) – the joint-most of any side in the competition. It’s also already one more than they conceded throughout their entire last Championship campaign in 2024-25.
kickoff Kick-off at Turf Moor
