Plymouth 0–0 Reading

🏟️ Home Park

Plymouth and Reading played out a goalless draw at Home Park. Reading finished with 1.15 xG to Plymouth’s 0.87, but neither side turned the underlying numbers into a goal. The draw ends Reading’s two-match winning run and keeps Plymouth unbeaten in two after their 3-2 win at Cambridge United. Both clubs remain closely matched on points — Plymouth have 23 from 14 matches and Reading 22 from 13.

⚽ Goals: No scorers recorded

Key Moment: A game of few clear chances, with Reading’s 1.15 xG the closest thing to a decisive factor.

What It Means: Plymouth move to 23 points and Reading to 22, with both sides unable to separate themselves on the afternoon.

Bradford 0–3 Huddersfield

🏟️ Valley Parade

Michael Duff’s Bradford suffered their first league defeat under his management as Huddersfield won 3-0 at Valley Parade. Joe Low opened the scoring in the fourth minute, and second-half goals from Derensili Sanches Fernandes and Joe Taylor in the 48th and 51st minutes ended the contest. Bradford finished with 0.89 xG to Huddersfield’s 1.72 and had Antoni Sarcevic sent off in the second half. The result is Huddersfield’s fourth straight win and leaves Bradford on 22 points, six behind Huddersfield’s 28.

⚽ Goals: Joe Low (4′), Derensili Sanches Fernandes (48′), Joe Taylor (51′)

Key Moment: Joe Taylor’s 51st-minute goal, three minutes after Sanches Fernandes’ strike, put the result out of Bradford’s reach.

What It Means: Huddersfield extend their run to four wins and move to 28 points, while Bradford’s run of clean sheets under Duff ends.

Leyton Orient 3–0 Cambridge United

🏟️ Brisbane Road

Leyton Orient returned to winning ways with a 3-0 victory over Cambridge United at Brisbane Road. Rarmani Edmonds-Green scored in the 32nd minute, Jaze Kabia added a second five minutes after the break and Aaron Connolly completed the scoring just after the hour. The xG was much closer than the scoreline — 2.11 to 2.00 — but Orient’s finishing proved the difference. Cambridge created enough to suggest the margin flattered the hosts, but they lose for the second time in three and remain on 21 points; Orient move to 17.

⚽ Goals: Rarmani Edmonds-Green (32′), Jaze Kabia (50′), Aaron Connolly (62′)

Key Moment: Jaze Kabia’s 50th-minute second goal gave Orient the cushion their first-half lead had lacked.

What It Means: Orient snap a two-match losing run and move to 17 points; Cambridge lose for the second time in three.

Wycombe 2–0 Burton Albion

🏟️ Adams Park

Wycombe beat Burton Albion 2-0 at Adams Park to extend their unbeaten league run to four matches. Jayden Wareham put the hosts ahead in the 21st minute and Cauley Woodrow doubled the lead in the 53rd. Burton finished with 0.87 xG to Wycombe’s 1.31 and were unable to force a way back. Wycombe move to 18 points, while Burton stay on 17 after a result that ends their brief bounce from beating Leyton Orient.

⚽ Goals: Jayden Wareham (21′), Cauley Woodrow (53′)

Key Moment: Cauley Woodrow’s 53rd-minute goal doubled Wycombe’s lead and left Burton needing two goals with the chances running against them.

What It Means: Wycombe climb to 18 points and extend an unbeaten run to four; Burton remain on 17.

Wigan 3–2 Bromley

🏟️ The Brick Community Stadium

Wigan beat Bromley 3-2 at the Brick Community Stadium in a game that saw five goals and little between the sides. Kamarl Grant gave Bromley a sixth-minute lead, but Christian Saydee and K’Marni Miller turned it around before the 25th minute. George Saville levelled for Bromley in first-half stoppage time, only for Bradley-Paul Burrows to win it in the 58th. Wigan’s 2.42 xG to Bromley’s 1.84 reflected the open nature. The win lifts Wigan to 10 points; Bromley remain on nine and have now gone six league games without a win.

⚽ Goals: Kamarl Grant (6′), Christian Saydee (18′), K’Marni Miller (23′), George Saville (45+2′), Bradley-Paul Burrows (58′)

Key Moment: Bradley-Paul Burrows’ 58th-minute strike proved the final goal of a five-goal game and Wigan’s winner.

What It Means: Wigan earn a third win of the season and move to 10 points; Bromley’s winless run stretches to six.

Peterborough 0–2 Luton

🏟️ Weston Homes Stadium

Luton made it four straight league wins with a 2-0 victory at Peterborough. Jordan Clark scored inside three minutes and Liam Kelly’s own goal doubled the lead in the first minute of the second half. Peterborough had more possession and shots, but Luton’s 1.44 xG to Peterborough’s 1.02 suggested they had the better chances. Peterborough stay on 10 points and are now four league games without a win.

⚽ Goals: Jordan Clark (3′), Liam Kelly (46′ og)

Key Moment: Liam Kelly’s own goal in the 46th minute put Luton 2-0 ahead and left Peterborough chasing the game.

What It Means: Luton extend a winning run to four matches and reach 23 points; Peterborough remain on 10 and winless in four.

Leicester 2–2 Stevenage

🏟️ King Power Stadium

Leicester and Stevenage shared a 2-2 draw at the King Power Stadium. Samuel Braybrooke scored for Leicester inside two minutes, Benjamin Broggio equalised for Stevenage in the 22nd, Kami Doyle restored Leicester’s lead in the 66th and Tugra Turhan levelled again 12 minutes later. Leicester led the xG 2.12 to 1.20 but could not make it count with a third. Stevenage move to 16 points, Leicester to 19.

⚽ Goals: Samuel Braybrooke (2′), Benjamin Broggio (22′), Kami Doyle (66′), Tugra Turhan (78′)

Key Moment: Tugra Turhan’s 78th-minute equaliser for Stevenage denied Leicester a third home win in a row.

What It Means: Stevenage move to 16 points and Leicester to 19, with both sides missing the chance to take maximum return.

Stockport County 2–1 AFC Wimbledon

🏟️ Edgeley Park

Stockport County beat AFC Wimbledon 2-1 at Edgeley Park despite falling behind early in the second half. Jayden Stockley put Wimbledon ahead in the 47th minute, but Jack Diamond equalised in the 64th and Ethan Ennis scored the winner 10 minutes later. Stockport’s 2.85 xG to Wimbledon’s 1.01 underlined their control, and the result is a first win in three. Wimbledon are now winless in seven and remain on 13 points.

⚽ Goals: Jayden Stockley (47′), Jack Diamond (64′), Ethan Ennis (74′)

Key Moment: Ethan Ennis’ 74th-minute goal completed Stockport’s recovery from Stockley’s opener.

What It Means: Stockport win for the first time in three and move to 26 points; Wimbledon remain winless in seven.

Mansfield Town 0–2 Notts County

🏟️ One Call Stadium

Notts County won 2-0 at Mansfield Town despite losing the xG battle 1.61 to 1.06. Callum Roberts scored in the 29th minute and Daniel Kanu added a second in the 65th, leaving Mansfield with no way back. Mansfield’s two-match winning run ends, while Notts County’s unbeaten run stretches to three matches. Mansfield stay on 18 points, Notts County move to 14.

⚽ Goals: Callum Roberts (29′), Daniel Kanu (65′)

Key Moment: Daniel Kanu’s 65th-minute second goal made Notts County’s advantage count and left Mansfield with too much to do.

What It Means: Mansfield’s two-match winning run ends; Notts County extend an unbeaten run to three and move to 14 points.

Barnsley 1–1 Oxford United

🏟️ Oakwell

Barnsley held Oxford United to a 1-1 draw at Oakwell in a game the visitors dominated for long spells. Vimal Yoganathan gave Barnsley the lead in the 32nd minute, but Mark Harris levelled on the hour. Oxford ended with 2.70 xG to Barnsley’s 0.92, making a draw a scant return. Barnsley end a run of four straight league defeats; Oxford’s unbeaten run is now nine matches.

⚽ Goals: Vimal Yoganathan (32′), Mark Harris (60′)

Key Moment: Mark Harris’ 60th-minute equaliser ensured Oxford’s 2.70 xG did not finish as a defeat.

What It Means: Barnsley halt a four-match losing sequence; Oxford extend an unbeaten run to nine, a third draw in their last five.

Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Blackpool

🏟️ Hillsborough

Sheffield Wednesday drew 1-1 with Blackpool at Hillsborough with Dave Challinor, whose appointment the club announced on Sunday morning, watching from the directors’ box and Matt Hamshaw still in interim charge, as the Sheffield Star reported. Davis Keillor-Dunn put Wednesday ahead in the 25th minute, but Sil Swinkels’ red card five minutes before half-time gave Blackpool a way back. Jerry Yates equalised in the 81st minute after Blackpool built 1.22 xG to Wednesday’s 0.69. Wednesday move to 20 points and are four league games without a win; Blackpool move to 12.

⚽ Goals: Davis Keillor-Dunn (25′), Jerry Yates (81′)

Key Moment: Sil Swinkels’ 40th-minute red card, with Wednesday leading 1-0, changed the match’s shape and allowed Blackpool’s late equaliser.

What It Means: Wednesday move to 20 points and winless in four; Blackpool take a point and move to 12.

⭐ Match of the Round: Milton Keynes Dons 6–1 Doncaster

🏟️ Stadium MK

Stadium MK witnessed the gameweek’s standout individual display as Milton Keynes Dons thrashed Doncaster 6-1. Aaron Collins scored in the 2nd, 21st, 69th and 76th minutes, taking him to 13 goals for the season. Jordan Thomas pulled one back for Doncaster in the 64th minute, but Collins’ third, five minutes later, restored a two-goal lead and Callum Paterson and Marvin Ekpiteta added late finishes. The xG sided heavily with the hosts: 4.00 to 0.72. The win is MK Dons’ third in a row, lifting them to 18 points; Doncaster stay on 12 after a third defeat in four.

⚽ Goals: Aaron Collins (2′), Aaron Collins (21′), Jordan Thomas (64′), Aaron Collins (69′), Aaron Collins (76′), Callum Paterson (81′), Marvin Ekpiteta (89′)

Key Moment: Collins’ 69th-minute third, scored five minutes after Doncaster had pulled one back, ended any prospect of a contest and began the closing surge.

What It Means: The margin moves MK Dons’ goal difference to +2 and gives them a first three-game winning run of the season.

⭐ Player of the Week: Aaron Collins (Milton Keynes Dons)

A four-goal afternoon against Doncaster included a first-half double inside 21 minutes and two more after the interval. He now has 13 league goals for the campaign, four clear of Joe Taylor and Kyle Wootton in the scoring charts.

🎯 Decisive Goal of the Week

Aaron Collins (Milton Keynes Dons) vs Doncaster — His 21st-minute finish made it 2-0, and after Doncaster pulled one back, his 69th-minute third restored a two-goal lead.

💪 Performance of the Week

Milton Keynes Dons‘s 6-1 against Doncaster — A season-best attacking display: four goals for Aaron Collins, 4.0 xG and six goals past a Doncaster side that finished with 0.72.

In the Spotlight

Michael Duff (Bradford) — Bradford had kept four straight league clean sheets before this game, then let in three inside 51 minutes against Huddersfield and had Antoni Sarcevic sent off. Their next League One match is not until 14 November.

⚽ League One Top Scorers

👀 Key Fixtures Next Week

• Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion (Sat 14 Nov 15:00)
• Bromley vs Notts County (Sat 14 Nov 15:00)
• Peterborough vs Oxford United (Sat 14 Nov 15:00)
• Leicester vs Bradford (Sat 14 Nov 15:00)
• Stockport County vs Reading (Sat 14 Nov 15:00)
• Doncaster vs Leyton Orient (Sat 14 Nov 15:00)
• Wigan vs Barnsley (Sat 14 Nov 15:00)
• Wycombe vs Huddersfield (Sat 14 Nov 15:00)

🎯 Projected Final Points

Rows are ordered by projected total, not by current position, because the clubs have played different numbers of matches. ML xPts = sum of expected points from remaining fixtures per the BTP model (3·P(win) + 1·P(draw)). Projected total indicative only.

🎯 Projected Final Points

Rows are ordered by projected total, not by current position, because the clubs have played different numbers of matches. ML xPts = sum of expected points from remaining fixtures per the BTP model (3·P(win) + 1·P(draw)). Projected total indicative only.

🔮 Predictions Review

Correct Results: 6/12

Model Record: 65/143 (45.5%) — model picks from Matchday 2, including the five rearranged fixtures on 27 October

Best Call: The model’s best call was Stockport County to beat AFC Wimbledon at 60.1% confidence; Stockport County won 2-1.

Worst Call: The biggest miss was Sheffield Wednesday to beat Blackpool at 56.6% confidence; the match finished 1-1.

The model went six for 12, with four of its six misses ending in draws, reflecting the gameweek’s stubborn refusal to separate sides.

📚 Five Things We Learned

1. Huddersfield’s 3-0 win at Bradford was settled by Joe Low’s fourth-minute opener and two goals early in the second half, from Sanches Fernandes and Taylor in the 48th and 51st minutes.
2. MK Dons turned 4.0 xG into six goals, with Aaron Collins’ four-goal haul underlining why he leads the scoring charts on 13.
3. Blackpool’s 1.22 xG to Sheffield Wednesday’s 0.69 showed how much Sil Swinkels’ red card tilted a game Wednesday had led.
4. Stockport County produced 2.85 xG to AFC Wimbledon’s 1.01, making a 2-1 win look closer than the pattern of chances.
5. Oxford United’s 2.70 xG at Barnsley yielded only a 1-1 draw, extending their unbeaten run to nine, a third draw in their last five.