Championship Gameweek 39 Preview: Playoff Crunch Time
Gameweek 39 Preview: Competition: Sky Bet Championship Dates: Fri 20th – Sat 21st March Number of Fixtures: 12 Hull City: HOME vs Sheffield Wednesday (Sat, 3:00pm) ⏰ Tonight first:Southampton vs Norwich (GW36 makeup, 19:45) — see below
⚠ Before GW39 kicks off… Two rescheduled fixtures are reshaping the table. Last night (Tue 17th), Watford beat Wrexham 3–1 at Vicarage Road in a GW36 makeup — a massive result that dents Wrexham’s play-off push and gives Watford a huge lift in their survival battle. Tonight (Wed 18th, 19:45), Southampton host Norwich in a GW36 fixture with huge top-half implications. Southampton sit 7th on 57 points (form: DWWDW); Norwich are 12th on 51 points but in fine form (LWWWW). That result will further reshape the standings before a ball is kicked on Friday. We’ve covered tonight’s game in our predictions below.
With seven games of the Championship season remaining, the picture at both ends of the table is coming sharply into focus. Coventry City have opened up a six-point lead at the top, but the race for the remaining automatic promotion place and all six playoff spots is as tight as it gets — and Gameweek 39 delivers a genuine blockbuster. Ipswich host Millwall in a direct head-to-head for the second automatic promotion place, a game that could define the rest of the season for both clubs. Down at the bottom, Sheffield Wednesday’s historically grim campaign continues, and Hull City — hoping to put a 0-3 West Brom thrashing behind them — have a gilt-edged opportunity to bank three points at the KC Stadium.
Gameweek 39 – Stats & Historical Data
All Fixtures – Head to Head, xG Form & Historical Positions
Championship - Matchday 39 Preview
Season 2025-26 | Powered by 6 seasons of historical data
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Derby 4 wins, 2 draws, Birmingham 2 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: Derby 1-0 Birmingham (xG: 1.1-0.1)
2025-26: Birmingham 1-1 Derby (xG: 3.0-0.8)
2021-22: Derby 2-2 Birmingham
Charlton vs Norwich - Historical Insights
Charlton at Matchday 39:
2019-20: 18th with 45 pts → Finished 23rd
Norwich at Matchday 39:
2024-25: 10th with 52 pts → Finished 13th
2023-24: 6th with 64 pts → Finished 6th
2022-23: 7th with 57 pts → Finished 13th
2020-21: 1st with 84 pts → Finished 1st
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Charlton 0 wins, 0 draws, Norwich 2 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: Charlton 0-1 Norwich (xG: 1.4-1.4)
2025-26: Norwich 1-0 Charlton (xG: 1.2-0.3)
Watford vs Leicester - Historical Insights
Watford at Matchday 39:
2024-25: 9th with 53 pts → Finished 14th
2023-24: 14th with 49 pts → Finished 15th
2022-23: 11th with 55 pts → Finished 11th
2020-21: 2nd with 78 pts → Finished 2nd
Leicester at Matchday 39:
2023-24: 1st with 85 pts → Finished 1st
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Watford 1 wins, 1 draws, Leicester 2 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: Watford 0-0 Leicester (xG: 0.3-2.1)
2025-26: Leicester 1-2 Watford (xG: 0.4-1.4)
2023-24: Watford 1-2 Leicester (xG: 1.1-1.4)
Southampton vs Oxford United - Historical Insights
Southampton at Matchday 39:
2023-24: 4th with 77 pts → Finished 4th
Oxford United at Matchday 39:
2024-25: 19th with 42 pts → Finished 17th
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Southampton 1 wins, 0 draws, Oxford United 1 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: Southampton 2-0 Oxford United (xG: 2.2-1.1)
2025-26: Oxford United 2-1 Southampton (xG: 0.9-1.4)
Bristol City vs West Brom - Historical Insights
Bristol City at Matchday 39:
2024-25: 8th with 57 pts → Finished 6th
2023-24: 13th with 50 pts → Finished 11th
2022-23: 14th with 49 pts → Finished 14th
2021-22: 19th with 44 pts → Finished 18th
2020-21: 14th with 49 pts → Finished 19th
2019-20: 12th with 55 pts → Finished 12th
West Brom at Matchday 39:
2024-25: 6th with 57 pts → Finished 9th
2023-24: 5th with 67 pts → Finished 5th
2022-23: 9th with 56 pts → Finished 9th
2021-22: 10th with 57 pts → Finished 10th
2019-20: 2nd with 71 pts → Finished 2nd
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Bristol City 3 wins, 2 draws, West Brom 7 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: Bristol City 0-1 West Brom (xG: 0.2-2.5)
2025-26: West Brom 1-2 Bristol City (xG: 1.6-0.7)
2024-25: Bristol City 2-1 West Brom (xG: 0.7-1.9)
Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham - Historical Insights
Sheffield Utd at Matchday 39:
2024-25: 1st with 85 pts → Finished 3rd
2022-23: 2nd with 76 pts → Finished 2nd
2021-22: 5th with 64 pts → Finished 5th
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Sheffield Utd 0 wins, 0 draws, Wrexham 2 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: Sheffield Utd 1-2 Wrexham (xG: 2.8-1.3)
2025-26: Wrexham 5-3 Sheffield Utd (xG: 2.3-1.9)
Hull City vs Sheffield Wednesday - Historical Insights
Hull City at Matchday 39:
2024-25: 21st with 41 pts → Finished 21st
2023-24: 7th with 61 pts → Finished 7th
2022-23: 17th with 48 pts → Finished 15th
2021-22: 22nd with 41 pts → Finished 20th
2019-20: 21st with 42 pts → Finished 24th
Sheffield Wednesday at Matchday 39:
2024-25: 12th with 52 pts → Finished 12th
2023-24: 23rd with 39 pts → Finished 20th
2020-21: 23rd with 38 pts → Finished 21st
2019-20: 13th with 52 pts → Finished 17th
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Hull City 5 wins, 1 draws, Sheffield Wednesday 2 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: Hull City 3-1 Sheffield Wednesday (xG: 2.6-0.7)
2025-26: Sheffield Wednesday 2-2 Hull City (xG: 1.6-1.5)
2024-25: Sheffield Wednesday 0-1 Hull City (xG: 1.1-0.6)
QPR vs Portsmouth - Historical Insights
QPR at Matchday 39:
2024-25: 15th with 45 pts → Finished 15th
2023-24: 18th with 43 pts → Finished 18th
2022-23: 20th with 42 pts → Finished 21st
2021-22: 9th with 59 pts → Finished 11th
2020-21: 12th with 53 pts → Finished 9th
2019-20: 14th with 50 pts → Finished 14th
Portsmouth at Matchday 39:
2024-25: 17th with 45 pts → Finished 16th
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): QPR 1 wins, 1 draws, Portsmouth 2 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: QPR 6-1 Portsmouth (xG: 1.6-1.5)
2025-26: Portsmouth 1-1 QPR (xG: 0.5-0.5)
2024-25: Portsmouth 2-1 QPR (xG: 1.7-0.7)
Swansea vs Coventry - Historical Insights
Swansea at Matchday 39:
2024-25: 16th with 45 pts → Finished 11th
2023-24: 15th with 47 pts → Finished 14th
2022-23: 15th with 49 pts → Finished 10th
2021-22: 15th with 52 pts → Finished 15th
2020-21: 4th with 72 pts → Finished 4th
2019-20: 10th with 56 pts → Finished 6th
Coventry at Matchday 39:
2024-25: 5th with 59 pts → Finished 5th
2023-24: 8th with 60 pts → Finished 9th
2022-23: 8th with 57 pts → Finished 5th
2021-22: 13th with 55 pts → Finished 12th
2020-21: 20th with 42 pts → Finished 16th
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Swansea 4 wins, 5 draws, Coventry 3 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: Swansea 0-3 Coventry (xG: 1.7-2.3)
2025-26: Coventry 1-0 Swansea (xG: 1.3-1.2)
2024-25: Swansea 0-2 Coventry (xG: 0.3-2.4)
Current Championship Table
Championship Table
Championship Table
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Coventry
42
25
10
7
84
42
+42
85
2
Ipswich
41
21
12
8
71
42
+29
75
3
Millwall
42
21
10
11
56
47
+9
73
4
Southampton
42
20
12
10
73
50
+23
72
5
Middlesbrough
42
20
12
10
62
42
+20
72
6
Hull City
42
20
8
14
64
60
+4
68
7
Wrexham
42
17
13
12
63
60
+3
64
8
Derby
42
18
9
15
61
53
+8
63
9
Norwich
42
17
7
18
55
50
+5
58
10
Bristol City
42
16
10
16
52
51
+1
58
11
QPR
42
16
10
16
58
63
-5
58
12
Watford
42
14
15
13
52
51
+1
57
13
Preston
42
14
15
13
50
53
-3
57
14
Swansea
42
16
9
17
50
54
-4
57
15
Birmingham
42
15
11
16
51
52
-1
56
16
Stoke City
42
15
10
17
49
46
+3
55
17
Sheffield Utd
42
16
6
20
59
59
0
54
18
Charlton
42
12
13
17
39
51
-12
49
19
Portsmouth
42
12
12
18
43
57
-14
48
20
Blackburn
43
12
12
19
38
53
-15
48
21
West Brom
42
11
13
18
42
56
-14
46
22
Oxford United
42
10
14
18
41
54
-13
44
23
Leicester
42
11
14
17
54
64
-10
41
24
Sheffield Wednesday
42
1
11
30
25
82
-57
-4
← scroll →
Table updates automatically — last night’s Watford 3–1 Wrexham is already in the database. Will also reflect tonight’s Southampton vs Norwich (GW36) once played.
Tonight’s wildcard — Southampton vs Norwich (19:45): A rescheduled GW36 game with huge implications. Southampton (7th, 57 pts, form DWWDW) need this to stay in touch with the top six. Norwich (12th, 51 pts) arrive in the form of their lives with four wins from their last five — a win would rocket them into serious playoff contention. Watford already delivered a shock last night, beating Wrexham 3–1 to complicate the play-off picture. Tonight’s Southampton vs Norwich result completes the pre-GW39 reshaping of the table.
Ipswich vs Millwall — the promotion shootout: Both on 68 points, just three behind second-placed Middlesbrough. Ipswich have a game in hand over Millwall coming in. Win this and Kieran McKenna’s side take a massive step towards automatic promotion. Millwall’s form has been superb (WWWWL) and they won’t come to sit back. Saturday 12:30 is the Championship’s biggest game in weeks.
Suspensions bite at the top: Millwall travel to Portman Road without Zak Sturge (red card suspension) while Ipswich will be without Leif Davis for a couple of games. Both absences could shape the outcome of the division’s biggest game — Sturge’s physicality has been key to Millwall’s defensive shape, and Davis drives forward constantly from left back for Ipswich.
Hull’s bounce-back test against bottom side Wednesday: A 0-3 defeat at West Brom was a chastening afternoon for the Tigers. Now they face a Sheffield Wednesday side that has won just once all season, conceded 76 goals, and is all but mathematically relegated. This should be three points — anything less would be a serious concern for their top-six hopes.
This is the game the Championship has been building towards. Ipswich (3rd, 68 pts, 37 played) and Millwall (4th, 68 pts, 38 played) are level on points with the second automatic promotion spot very much up for grabs. Ipswich carry the advantage of a game in hand, meaning a win here would put them three points clear with that extra fixture still to come — a near-decisive blow in the promotion race. Millwall, however, have been the form team of the division with four consecutive wins before last weekend’s stumble, and Gary Rowett’s side travel to Portman Road with nothing to lose and everything to gain. Whoever wins this almost certainly secures the second automatic spot; a draw keeps the tension alive for another week.
Head to Head
Ipswich vs Millwall
Last 4 league meetings
Ipswich2Wins
2Draws
Millwall0Wins
Total Goals: 8 - 2
Date
Home
Score
Away
xG
21 Mar 2026 2025-26
Ipswich
1 - 1
Millwall
1.4 - 1.7
26 Dec 2025 2025-26
Millwall
0 - 0
Ipswich
0.4 - 0.8
14 Feb 2024 2023-24
Millwall
0 - 4
Ipswich
0.8 - 1.9
29 Nov 2023 2023-24
Ipswich
3 - 1
Millwall
1.2 - 0.4
Recent Form Comparison
Form Comparison - Last 6 Games
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
Form
1
Ipswich
6
3
3
0
11
6
+5
12
DDWDWW
2
Millwall
6
2
2
2
6
6
0
8
WLDWLD
Ipswich - Recent Results
D1-1vs Leicester (H)
D3-3vs Stoke City (A)
W2-0vs Sheffield Wednesday (A)
D1-1vs Millwall (H)
W2-1vs Birmingham (H)
W2-0vs Norwich (A)
Millwall - Recent Results
W1-0vs Derby (H)
L1-2vs Blackburn (H)
D1-1vs Ipswich (A)
W2-1vs Middlesbrough (A)
L1-2vs Norwich (H)
D0-0vs West Brom (A)
xG Trends
Ipswich - 10-Match Rolling xG 2025/2026
Rolling 10-match average | Green above red = Creating more than conceding
Millwall - 10-Match Rolling xG 2025/2026
Rolling 10-match average | Green above red = Creating more than conceding
Goals by Period
Ipswich - Goals by Time Period 2025/2026
Best Scoring Period
76-90+ mins
Most Vulnerable Period
31-45 mins
Millwall - Goals by Time Period 2025/2026
Best Scoring Period
76-90+ mins
Most Vulnerable Period
76-90+ mins
Historical Position at Matchday 39
Historical Position Comparison
Ipswich - Saturday 21st March 2026
Season
Pos
Pts
GD
xGD
Form
Final
2025-26(now)
2nd
75
+31
+27.8
DWDWW
-
2023-24
2nd
84
+32
+23.6
WWLWW
2nd
Historical Position Comparison
Millwall - Saturday 21st March 2026
Season
Pos
Pts
GD
xGD
Form
Final
2025-26(now)
3rd
73
+9
+0.6
LDWLD
-
2024-25
13th
51
-3
+1.7
LWLWL
8th
2023-24
16th
44
-14
-12.3
WDWLD
13th
2022-23
5th
61
+8
+0.0
LWWLD
8th
2021-22
11th
57
+2
+0.0
DDWLL
9th
2020-21
10th
55
+3
+0.0
LWLWW
11th
2019-20
11th
55
+3
+0.0
DDWLD
8th
Player to Watch
Jack Clarke (Ipswich)
Jack Clarke has been Ipswich’s most consistent attacking threat all season — 13 goals and a creative presence that leaves defenders regularly at full stretch. He likes to cut inside from the left and has the pace to hurt any defence on the counter. With Ipswich needing a win and Clarke in the kind of form that could decide big matches, he’s the name to watch at Portman Road on Saturday.
Jack Clarke
Ipswich • M • 2025-2026 Season
40 apps14 goals1 assists7.09 avg rating
BTP Verdict
Ipswich have the home advantage, a game in hand, and momentum on their side after back-to-back wins. Millwall are no pushovers — their defensive organisation and set-piece threat make them dangerous in any game — but we’re backing Portman Road to be the stage where Ipswich take a decisive stride towards automatic promotion. Clarke to be the difference.
Prediction
Ipswich 2-1 Millwall
One to Watch
Jack Clarke
Key Battle
Clarke vs Millwall’s right flank
Hull City vs Sheffield Wednesday — Sat, 3:00pm
The Opposition: Sheffield Wednesday are the worst team in the Championship this season by some distance. One win from 38 games, 12 points, and 76 goals conceded — they are all but mathematically relegated with seven games remaining. Wednesday have won just once since August and arrive at the KC Stadium having lost four of their last five, conceding freely in each of them. Whatever tactical shape Danny Rohl sets out with, Hull should have more than enough quality to win this comfortably.
Key Battle: Joe Gelhardt against a Sheffield Wednesday defence that has been routinely cut apart all season. With 13 goals and a 7.05 average rating, Gelhardt is Hull’s focal point going forward, and Wednesday have nothing in reserve to stop a player in his kind of form. The question is less whether Hull win, and more how many.
What We Think: Hull need to respond to that heavy defeat at West Brom and this is the perfect fixture to do it. Three points are expected — anything less would be deeply alarming given Wednesday’s record. The broader picture is equally important: with Wrexham and Southampton both capable of overtaking them with winning runs, Hull probably need to reach around 75 points to feel genuinely safe in the play-offs. That means wins against sides like Wednesday are non-negotiable. We’re backing a clean sheet and goals from Gelhardt and McBurnie.
Head to Head
Hull City vs Sheffield Wednesday
Last 5 league meetings
Hull City2Wins
1Draws
Sheffield Wednesday2Wins
Total Goals: 7 - 8
Date
Home
Score
Away
xG
21 Mar 2026 2025-26
Hull City
3 - 1
Sheffield Wednesday
2.6 - 0.7
26 Dec 2025 2025-26
Sheffield Wednesday
2 - 2
Hull City
1.6 - 1.5
05 Apr 2025 2024-25
Sheffield Wednesday
0 - 1
Hull City
1.1 - 0.6
26 Nov 2024 2024-25
Hull City
0 - 2
Sheffield Wednesday
1.0 - 2.2
01 Jan 2024 2023-24
Sheffield Wednesday
3 - 1
Hull City
1.2 - 0.9
Recent Form Comparison
Form Comparison - Last 6 Games
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
Form
1
Hull City
6
2
2
2
7
8
-1
8
WLWDDL
2
Sheffield Wednesday
6
0
3
3
3
9
-6
3
DLLLDD
Hull City - Recent Results
W2-1vs Wrexham (A)
L0-3vs West Brom (A)
W3-1vs Sheffield Wednesday (H)
D1-1vs Oxford United (A)
D0-0vs Coventry (H)
L1-2vs Sheffield Utd (A)
Sheffield Wednesday - Recent Results
D1-1vs Watford (H)
L0-2vs Ipswich (H)
L1-3vs Hull City (A)
L0-2vs Stoke City (A)
D1-1vs Leicester (H)
D0-0vs Coventry (A)
xG Trends
Hull City - 10-Match Rolling xG 2025/2026
Rolling 10-match average | Green above red = Creating more than conceding
Sheffield Wednesday - 10-Match Rolling xG 2025/2026
Rolling 10-match average | Green above red = Creating more than conceding
Goals by Period
Hull City - Goals by Time Period 2025/2026
Best Scoring Period
31-45 mins
Most Vulnerable Period
76-90+ mins
Sheffield Wednesday - Goals by Time Period 2025/2026
Best Scoring Period
16-30 mins
Most Vulnerable Period
76-90+ mins
Historical Position at Matchday 39
Historical Position Comparison
Hull City - Saturday 21st March 2026
Season
Pos
Pts
GD
xGD
Form
Final
2025-26(now)
6th
68
+4
-18.0
LWDDL
-
2024-25
21st
41
-9
-5.3
WDWDL
21st
2023-24
7th
61
+6
+7.3
DDDLW
7th
2022-23
17th
48
-10
+0.0
WDLDD
15th
2021-22
22nd
41
-11
+0.0
WLDWL
20th
2019-20
21st
42
-15
+0.0
LLLLD
24th
Historical Position Comparison
Sheffield Wednesday - Saturday 21st March 2026
Season
Pos
Pts
GD
xGD
Form
Final
2025-26(now)
24th
14
-57
-45.4
LLLDD
-
2024-25
12th
52
-6
-2.1
LWWLD
12th
2023-24
23rd
39
-31
-8.6
WWLLD
20th
2020-21
23rd
38
-22
+0.0
LDWLL
21st
2019-20
13th
52
-2
+0.0
WLLDW
17th
Hull City Recent Form
Hull City - Recent League Form
LDDWLW
Player to Watch
Joe Gelhardt — Hull City
Hull’s joint-top scorer with 13 goals this season, Gelhardt has been the Tigers’ most clinical attacker and carries a season-high 7.05 average rating. He had a quiet afternoon at West Brom last week in a game that went badly wrong for Hull from the start, but the chance to face the Championship’s worst defence is exactly the kind of game where he gets back on the scoresheet. With 13 goals already and three clubs joint at that mark, there’s also a golden boot to think about.
Joe Gelhardt
Hull City • M • 2025-2026 Season
35 apps13 goals4 assists6.97 avg rating
BTP Verdict
This should be three points, plain and simple. Hull City are at home against the worst side in the division. Jakirović’s men need to put the West Brom debacle behind them and get back to winning ways before the pressure of the top-six race really bites. Expect a professional performance and a comfortable home win — anything less than that would raise serious questions about Hull’s mentality in the run-in.
Prediction
Hull City 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday
One to Watch
Joe Gelhardt
Key Battle
Gelhardt vs Wednesday’s defence
BTP Predictions — Gameweek 39
⏰ Midweek results & prediction: Watford beat Wrexham 3–1 last night in their GW36 makeup — a result that hurts Wrexham’s play-off push and could prove crucial for Watford’s survival. Tonight Southampton host Norwich in their GW36 makeup (19:45). Both sides in good form, but we’re backing Southampton’s home advantage to edge it.
Southampton 2–1 Norwich
Our Predictions
Season record: 40/94 (43%)
Preston vs Stoke City
1–1
Derby vs Birmingham
1–1
Ipswich vs Millwall
2–1
Blackburn vs Middlesbrough
0–2
Watford vs Leicester
1–1
QPR vs Portsmouth
1–1
Hull City vs Sheffield Wednesday
2–0
Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham
1–1
Bristol City vs West Brom
1–1
Southampton vs Oxford United
1–0
Charlton vs Norwich
0–1
Swansea vs Coventry
1–2
Final Thoughts
Gameweek 39 is one of the most consequential of the season. Coventry march on, but the race for automatic promotion could be settled at Portman Road on Saturday — and the playoff picture is so compressed that tonight’s Southampton vs Norwich result alone could shift five places in the table. For Hull City, the only focus should be three points against the bottom side and then worrying about the bigger picture from there. Get this one right and they’ll be well-placed heading into the final stretch.
Best case for Hull City: A comfortable 3-0 win, Gelhardt on the scoresheet, and results elsewhere go Hull’s way to close the gap to the playoff places above them.
Worst case: A toothless performance, more dropped points at home, and the psychological damage of failing to beat the Championship’s worst side.
Hull City Upcoming Fixtures
Next Fixtures
Hull City - Upcoming League Fixtures
Date
Home
Away
18 Apr 2026
Hull City
Birmingham
21 Apr 2026
Leicester
Hull City
25 Apr 2026
Charlton
Hull City
02 May 2026
Hull City
Norwich
Check back after the weekend for our full Gameweek 39 review with xG analysis and match reports!
Kieron is a healthcare professional turned data analyst and football obsessive. BeyondThePrem was built from scratch as a passion project — the ML models, the pipeline and the plugin are all his own work. He thinks the Championship is the most interesting division in world football and has the spreadsheets to prove it.