Gameweek 9 Preview: Competition: Sky Bet League One Dates: Saturday 3 October 2026 Number of Fixtures: 3
The October international break has taken League One apart. Of the twelve fixtures that should make up Matchday 9, three are being played. Six are postponed and three more have already been moved to later dates. What is left is a thin Saturday — but not an uninteresting one, because one of the three sends the side with the best points-per-game record in the division to the club with its leading scorer.
Gameweek 9 – Stats & Historical Data
All Fixtures — Head to Head, Form & Historical Positions
League One - Matchday 9 Preview
Season 2026-27 | Powered by 6 seasons of historical data
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): AFC Wimbledon 0 wins, 1 draws, Stevenage 1 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: Stevenage 1-0 AFC Wimbledon (xG: 1.5-0.5)
2025-26: AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Stevenage (xG: 0.2-0.6)
Peterborough vs Notts County - Historical Insights
Peterborough at Matchday 9:
2025-26: 24th with 7 pts → Finished 17th
2024-25: 16th with 11 pts → Finished 18th
2023-24: 10th with 14 pts → Finished 4th
2022-23: 5th with 15 pts → Finished 6th
2020-21: 3rd with 19 pts → Finished 2nd
2019-20: 8th with 14 pts → Finished 6th
Leyton Orient vs Plymouth - Historical Insights
Leyton Orient at Matchday 9:
2025-26: 15th with 11 pts → Finished 20th
2024-25: 19th with 8 pts → Finished 6th
2023-24: 17th with 11 pts → Finished 12th
Plymouth at Matchday 9:
2025-26: 19th with 9 pts → Finished 8th
2022-23: 2nd with 21 pts → Finished 1st
2021-22: 4th with 18 pts → Finished 7th
2020-21: 9th with 15 pts → Finished 18th
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Leyton Orient 1 wins, 0 draws, Plymouth 2 wins
Recent Meetings:
2026-27: Leyton Orient 0-2 Plymouth (xG: 1.0-1.8)
2025-26: Leyton Orient 1-3 Plymouth
2025-26: Plymouth 0-1 Leyton Orient
Bromley vs Wycombe - Historical Insights
Wycombe at Matchday 9:
2025-26: 20th with 8 pts → Finished 12th
2024-25: 5th with 17 pts → Finished 5th
2023-24: 11th with 14 pts → Finished 11th
2022-23: 12th with 12 pts → Finished 9th
2021-22: 7th with 14 pts → Finished 6th
2019-20: 3rd with 16 pts → Finished 8th
Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge United - Historical Insights
Sheffield Wednesday at Matchday 9:
2022-23: 4th with 16 pts → Finished 3rd
2021-22: 5th with 15 pts → Finished 4th
Cambridge United at Matchday 9:
2024-25: 24th with 2 pts → Finished 23rd
2023-24: 9th with 14 pts → Finished 18th
2022-23: 11th with 13 pts → Finished 20th
2021-22: 8th with 13 pts → Finished 14th
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Sheffield Wednesday 3 wins, 2 draws, Cambridge United 0 wins
Recent Meetings:
2026-27: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Cambridge United (xG: 1.7-1.7)
2022-23: Sheffield Wednesday 5-0 Cambridge United
2022-23: Cambridge United 0-2 Sheffield Wednesday
Oxford United vs Stockport County - Historical Insights
Oxford United at Matchday 9:
2023-24: 1st with 21 pts → Finished 5th
2022-23: 15th with 11 pts → Finished 19th
2021-22: 13th with 12 pts → Finished 8th
2020-21: 24th with 6 pts → Finished 6th
2019-20: 18th with 9 pts → Finished 3rd
Stockport County at Matchday 9:
2025-26: 8th with 15 pts → Finished 4th
2024-25: 2nd with 18 pts → Finished 3rd
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Oxford United 1 wins, 0 draws, Stockport County 0 wins
Recent Meetings:
2026-27: Oxford United 1-0 Stockport County (xG: 2.1-2.5)
Luton vs Doncaster - Historical Insights
Luton at Matchday 9:
2025-26: 11th with 13 pts → Finished 7th
Doncaster at Matchday 9:
2025-26: 7th with 16 pts → Finished 15th
2021-22: 24th with 5 pts → Finished 22nd
2020-21: 10th with 13 pts → Finished 14th
2019-20: 12th with 12 pts → Finished 9th
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Luton 2 wins, 1 draws, Doncaster 0 wins
Recent Meetings:
2026-27: Luton 3-1 Doncaster (xG: 2.3-1.1)
2025-26: Doncaster 1-1 Luton
2025-26: Luton 1-0 Doncaster
Wigan vs Mansfield Town - Historical Insights
Wigan at Matchday 9:
2025-26: 12th with 12 pts → Finished 16th
2024-25: 14th with 12 pts → Finished 15th
2023-24: 15th with 13 pts → Finished 10th
2021-22: 1st with 22 pts → Finished 1st
2020-21: 21st with 7 pts → Finished 20th
Mansfield Town at Matchday 9:
2025-26: 13th with 11 pts → Finished 11th
2024-25: 6th with 17 pts → Finished 17th
Head to Head (Last 6 seasons): Wigan 1 wins, 2 draws, Mansfield Town 1 wins
Recent Meetings:
2025-26: Wigan 2-1 Mansfield Town (xG: 1.6-1.8)
2025-26: Mansfield Town 1-1 Wigan
2024-25: Mansfield Town 0-0 Wigan
Blackpool vs Leicester - Historical Insights
Blackpool at Matchday 9:
2025-26: 23rd with 8 pts → Finished 14th
2024-25: 7th with 15 pts → Finished 9th
2023-24: 14th with 13 pts → Finished 8th
2020-21: 16th with 10 pts → Finished 3rd
2019-20: 6th with 15 pts → Finished 13th
Current League One Table
League One Table
League One
Pos
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
1
Huddersfield
13
8
4
1
27
11
16
28
2
Stockport County
14
8
2
4
26
14
12
26
3
Oxford United
12
6
5
1
20
11
9
23
4
Luton
13
7
2
4
26
20
6
23
5
Plymouth
14
7
2
5
21
19
2
23
6
Reading
13
6
4
3
25
13
12
22
7
Bradford
13
6
4
3
10
8
2
22
8
Cambridge United
14
5
6
3
21
21
0
21
9
Sheffield Wednesday
13
5
5
3
22
14
8
20
10
Leicester
13
5
4
4
22
19
3
19
11
Milton Keynes Dons
13
4
6
3
22
20
2
18
12
Mansfield Town
12
5
3
4
20
18
2
18
13
Wycombe
13
4
6
3
21
23
-2
18
14
Leyton Orient
13
5
2
6
19
14
5
17
15
Burton Albion
14
4
5
5
18
21
-3
17
16
Stevenage
12
4
4
4
17
13
4
16
17
Notts County
12
3
5
4
13
14
-1
14
18
AFC Wimbledon
13
3
4
6
9
21
-12
13
19
Blackpool
12
3
3
6
17
21
-4
12
20
Doncaster
13
3
3
7
14
22
-8
12
21
Wigan
13
3
1
9
11
22
-11
10
22
Peterborough
13
2
4
7
11
23
-12
10
23
Barnsley
12
2
3
7
12
22
-10
9
24
Bromley
13
2
3
8
13
33
-20
9
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Updated: 03 Nov 2026, 1:24 PM
Key Storylines This Week
What to Watch For
Nine of twelve are not being played: Six fixtures are postponed for the October international break: Luton v Doncaster, Peterborough v Notts County, Bromley v Wycombe, AFC Wimbledon v Stevenage, Barnsley v Milton Keynes Dons, Wigan v Mansfield Town. Three more had already been moved: Sheffield Wednesday v Cambridge United (Tue 27 Oct), Oxford United v Stockport County (Tue 27 Oct), Blackpool v Leicester (Tue 24 Nov).
The table is not comparing like with like: Clubs have played between 6 and 8 games, and only three add to that on Saturday. Points totals this week describe different amounts of football, and the gap widens rather than closes.
The model picks all three home sides: Every one of the three calls is a home win and all three picks come out 1-0, though in two of them the grid’s single most likely score is a 1-1 draw. Its record this season is 29 of 75 (38.7%), so read that as a lean, not a shout.
League One Top Scorers
Top Scorers Heading into Gameweek 9
1.
Jack Marriott (Reading)
8
=2.
Aaron Collins (Milton Keynes Dons)
5
=2.
Joe Taylor (Huddersfield)
5
=2.
Kyle Wootton (Stockport County)
5
5.
Jack Diamond (Stockport County)
4
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Top Assists
Top Assist Providers
League One Top Assists
Rank
Player
Team
Assists
1
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
Huddersfield
5
2
Kyreece Lisbie
Reading
4
3
Josh Magennis
Stevenage
4
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⭐ Match of the Week: Reading vs Bradford
Saturday 3 October, 15:00 BST
Bradford arrive with 15 points from 7 games, the best points-per-game return in the division, and they do it without a forward near the top of the scoring charts. Reading have the opposite profile: Jack Marriott has 8 league goals, more than anyone else in League One.
Head to Head
Reading vs Bradford
Last 3 league meetings
Reading1Wins
1Draws
Bradford1Wins
Total Goals: 3 - 4
Date
Home
Score
Away
xG
03 Oct 2026 2026-27
Reading
1 - 1
Bradford
0.7 - 0.9
28 Feb 2026 2025-26
Reading
2 - 1
Bradford
1.2 - 1.3
13 Dec 2025 2025-26
Bradford
2 - 0
Reading
1.2 - 0.7
Recent Form Comparison
Form Comparison - Last 6 Games
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GF
GA
GD
Pts
Form
1
Reading
6
3
2
1
9
4
+5
11
DWLWWD
2
Bradford
6
1
4
1
3
4
-1
7
DDWDDL
Reading - Recent Results
D1-1vs Bradford (H)
W5-1vs Milton Keynes Dons (A)
L0-1vs Wigan (A)
W1-0vs Leyton Orient (H)
W2-1vs Barnsley (H)
D0-0vs Plymouth (A)
Bradford - Recent Results
D1-1vs Reading (A)
D0-0vs Leyton Orient (H)
W2-0vs Stevenage (H)
D0-0vs Burton Albion (A)
D0-0vs Oxford United (A)
L0-3vs Huddersfield (H)
xG Trends
Reading - 10-Match Rolling xG 2026/2027
Rolling 10-match average | Green above red = Creating more than conceding
Bradford - 10-Match Rolling xG 2026/2027
Rolling 10-match average | Green above red = Creating more than conceding
Goals by Period
Reading - Goals by Time Period 2026/2027
Best Scoring Period
31-45 mins
Most Vulnerable Period
76-90+ mins
Bradford - Goals by Time Period 2026/2027
Best Scoring Period
46-60 mins
Most Vulnerable Period
46-60 mins
Historical Position at Matchday 9
Historical Position Comparison
Reading - Saturday 3rd October 2026
Season
Pos
Pts
GD
xGD
Form
Final
2026-27(now)
6th
22
+12
+10.3
WLWWD
-
2025-26
14th
11
-3
-0.8
DWLWW
10th
2024-25
13th
13
-3
-
LLWWL
7th
2023-24
18th
10
-3
-
LLWLD
15th
Historical Position Comparison
Bradford - Saturday 3rd October 2026
Season
Pos
Pts
GD
xGD
Form
Final
2026-27(now)
7th
22
+2
+1.5
DWDDL
-
2025-26
2nd
20
+6
+2.0
DWLWW
5th
Player to Watch
Jack Marriott — Reading
Jack Marriott has 8 league goals, three clear of anyone else in the division. He also leads the EFL on our wider attacking measure — goals, assists, shots on target and key passes per 90 — before any adjustment, and stays level with the Championship’s best once League One output is discounted against Championship terms. Which of the two finishes ahead depends on an exchange rate nobody can pin down.
Jack Marriott
Reading • F • 2026-2027 Season
8 apps8 goals0 assists7.66 avg rating
BTP Verdict
The model gives Reading 54%, a draw 22% and Bradford 24%, with 1-0 the most likely exact score at 12% and 1-1 a point behind at 11%. Under 2.5 goals comes out at 51%, so the scoring is no more settled than the result. A narrow home win is the single best guess and it is nothing like a confident one.
Prediction
1-0 (12%) · top three: 1-0 12%, 1-1 11%, 2-0 10%
One to Watch
Jack Marriott
Key Battle
Jack Marriott against a Bradford side that has scored 7 and conceded 4 in 7 games.
Around the League — Gameweek 9
Four things worth following across the division this weekend, with most of it postponed.
A round that mostly is not happening
Six fixtures are postponed for the October international break: Luton v Doncaster, Peterborough v Notts County, Bromley v Wycombe, AFC Wimbledon v Stevenage, Barnsley v Milton Keynes Dons, Wigan v Mansfield Town. Three more were moved before the weekend arrived: Sheffield Wednesday v Cambridge United (Tue 27 Oct), Oxford United v Stockport County (Tue 27 Oct), Blackpool v Leicester (Tue 24 Nov). That leaves three.
The table is barely a table
Clubs have played between 6 and 8 games. Positions this week compare sides on different amounts of football, and after Saturday the spread gets wider, not narrower.
The best record so far, away at the leading scorer
Reading host Bradford, who have taken 15 points from 7 games — both the most points and the best points-per-game rate in the division. Reading have Jack Marriott, whose 8 goals are more than anyone else in League One has managed. The model still makes Reading favourites at home, which is the weekend’s most interesting disagreement.
The model picks all three home sides
All three calls are home wins and all three picks come out 1-0 — but in two of them, Leyton Orient v Plymouth and Burton v Huddersfield, the grid’s single most likely scoreline is actually a 1-1 draw. That is the model leaning home rather than landing on it. Its season record is 29 of 75 (38.7%).
Player Watchlist
Three players to keep an eye on this weekend.
Jack Marriott(Reading) — League One’s leading scorer on 8 goals, and his side host the division’s best points-per-game side.
Joe Taylor(Huddersfield) — 5 goals, and Huddersfield travel to Burton in one of the three that survive.
Jaze Kabia(Leyton Orient) — 4 goals for Leyton Orient, who are at home on Saturday.
BTP Predictions — Gameweek 9
Our Predictions
Season record: 29/75 (38.7%) — every completed League One fixture the model has priced this season, Matchdays 2 to 8. It writes no rows for Matchday 1.
Reading vs Bradford
1-0 (12%)
Leyton Orient vs Plymouth
1-0 (10%)
Burton Albion vs Huddersfield
1-0 (11%)
Picks are the most likely score consistent with the model’s home/draw/away call. For Leyton Orient v Plymouth and Burton v Huddersfield the grid’s outright most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw.
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Final Thoughts
Three matches is not a gameweek, and the table that comes out of Saturday will be even harder to read than the one going in: clubs are already spread between six and eight games played. Treat every position in the table as more provisional than usual. The model’s season record stands at 29 of 75 (38.7%), and it picks all three home sides.
🤖 BTP Machine Learning Model — League One GW9
The BTP ML model generates probability estimates for every League One fixture. The model is a logistic regression with player-quality features, calibrated so its percentages match how often those outcomes actually happen (leagueone_lr_v3_cal), trained across six seasons (2019/20–2024/25), using rolling form, goals data, league position and per-team player-rating signals. It outputs a probability for each outcome — home win, draw, away win — for every upcoming fixture.
For the full methodology, results and an honest assessment of what the model can and cannot do, see our ML Model Explainer.
How to read these charts: Each bar shows the model’s probability for home win (blue), draw (grey), and away win (red). The longer the segment, the more likely that outcome. Position bands: 1–2 automatic promotion, 3–6 play-offs, 7–20 mid-table, 21–24 relegation. These are not betting tips — they are a data-driven perspective based on form and league position.
Reading vs Bradford
📊 ML Probability
Match Prediction
The model makes Reading favourites, and the most likely score consistent with that is a narrow home win: 1-0 at 12%, with 1-1 at 11% barely behind it.
Leyton Orient vs Plymouth
📊 ML Probability
Match Prediction
A close call the model leans home on without much conviction — a draw is its single most likely exact score here, at 12%.
Burton Albion vs Huddersfield
📊 ML Probability
Match Prediction
The tightest of the three: 40% Burton, 35% Huddersfield, and a 1-1 draw the most likely individual scoreline at 12%.
🤖 Model Notes — GW9
Probabilities come from leagueone_lr_v3_cal. Scorelines are the most likely result consistent with that outcome, taken from the Poisson grid, not the single most likely scoreline overall. Season record: 29/75 (38.7%).
Model: logistic regression with player-quality features, calibrated so its percentages match observed frequencies (leagueone_lr_v3_cal, deployed August 2026). Trained across six League One seasons (2019/20–2024/25). Scoreline grids come from a companion Poisson + Dixon-Coles goals model (leagueone_poisson_v1). Full methodology here.
Check back after the weekend for our full Gameweek 9 League One review with match reports and updated standings!
Reading6th
Bradford7th
Barnsley23rd
Milton Keynes Dons11th
Burton Albion15th
Huddersfield1st
AFC Wimbledon18th
Stevenage16th
Peterborough22nd
Notts County17th
Leyton Orient14th
Plymouth5th
Bromley24th
Wycombe13th
Sheffield Wednesday9th
Cambridge United8th
Oxford United3rd
Stockport County2nd
Luton4th
Doncaster20th
Wigan21st
Mansfield Town12th
Blackpool19th
Leicester10th
